Is It Too Late To Consider National Fuel Gas (NFG) After Its Strong Share Price Run?

Simply Wall St.03-29 03:04

Wondering if National Fuel Gas at around US$95.29 is still reasonably priced after a strong run, or if you might be turning up late to the story. The stock has returned 3.9% over the past week, 7.7% ...

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The stock has returned 3.9% over the past week, 7.7% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/utilities/nyse-nfg/national-fuel-gas/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-national-fuel-gas-nfg-after-its-s-2\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider National Fuel Gas (NFG) After Its Strong Share Price Run?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider National Fuel Gas (NFG) After Its Strong Share Price Run?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-29 03:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/utilities/nyse-nfg/national-fuel-gas/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-national-fuel-gas-nfg-after-its-s-2><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering if National Fuel Gas at around US$95.29 is still reasonably priced after a strong run, or if you might be turning up late to the story. The stock has returned 3.9% over the past week, 7.7% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/utilities/nyse-nfg/national-fuel-gas/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-national-fuel-gas-nfg-after-its-s-2\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4197","symbol_name":"燃气公用事业","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/utilities/nyse-nfg/national-fuel-gas/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-national-fuel-gas-nfg-after-its-s-2","article_id":"2623338911","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/9531000-choice2-main-header/1585186652816"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/utilities/nyse-nfg/national-fuel-gas/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-national-fuel-gas-nfg-after-its-s-2","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2623338911","pubTimestamp":1774724677,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering if National Fuel Gas at around US$95.29 is still reasonably priced after a strong run, or if you might be turning up late to the story.\nThe stock has returned 3.9% over the past week, 7.7% over the last month, 16.1% year to date, and 24.0% over the past year. This naturally raises questions about how much value is already reflected in the price.\nRecent coverage has focused on National Fuel Gas as a vertically integrated gas utility and energy company, with attention on how it...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4197":"燃气公用事业","NFG":"National Fuel Gas Co","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc"},"translate_title":"在股价强劲上涨后，考虑国家燃气公司（NFG）是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"NFG":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Wondering if National Fuel Gas at around US$95.29 is still reasonably priced after a strong run, or if you might be turning up late to the story. The stock has returned 3.9% over the past week, 7.7% over the last month, 16.1% year to date, and 24.0% over the past year. This naturally raises questions about how much value is already reflected in the price. Recent coverage has focused on National Fuel Gas as a vertically integrated gas utility and energy company, with attention on how it balances its regulated utility operations with its exploration and production activities. This context helps explain why investor interest often picks up when sector sentiment, regulation, or commodity expectations shift, even without company specific announcements. National Fuel Gas currently holds a value score of 5/6. This sets the stage for a closer look at how different valuation methods view the stock today and how a broader framework at the end of this article could help you interpret those results with more confidence.  National Fuel Gas delivered 24.0% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Gas Utilities industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: National Fuel Gas Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s value using a required rate of return. For National Fuel Gas, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is reported at $28.97 million. Analyst inputs and Simply Wall St extrapolations then project annual Free Cash Flow out over the next decade, with figures in the ten year view ranging from about $351.47 million in 2026 to $295.80 million in 2035 on a discounted basis. Based on these cash flow projections, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of $123.99 per share. Compared with the recent share price of about $95.29, this implies the stock trades at a 23.1% discount to the model’s estimate. On this cash flow view, National Fuel Gas appears undervalued. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests National Fuel Gas is undervalued by 23.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 61 more high quality undervalued stocks. NFG Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for National Fuel Gas. Approach 2: National Fuel Gas Price vs Earnings (P/E) For a profitable company like National Fuel Gas, the P/E ratio is a useful way to gauge how much you are paying for each dollar of earnings. Higher expected growth and lower perceived risk usually support a higher, or “richer,” P/E, while slower growth or higher risk tend to justify a lower multiple. National Fuel Gas currently trades on a P/E of 13.82x. That sits below the Gas Utilities industry average of about 14.78x and also below the peer group average of 17.49x, which suggests the stock is priced more cautiously than many peers. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for National Fuel Gas is 20.96x. This is a proprietary estimate of what the P/E might be given the company’s earnings profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and identified risks. Because it blends these factors rather than relying only on simple peer or industry comparisons, it can give a more tailored view for this specific stock. Comparing the current 13.82x P/E with the 20.96x Fair Ratio indicates that National Fuel Gas is trading below that modelled range. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:NFG P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your National Fuel Gas Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives on Simply Wall St’s Community page let you attach your own story about National Fuel Gas to hard numbers by linking what you believe about its future revenue, earnings and margins to a forecast and a fair value, then comparing that fair value with today’s price. Because Narratives update automatically when new information such as earnings or capital raises appears, two investors can look at the same company data and reach different but clear conclusions. For example, one Narrative might lean on the current fair value estimate of US$100.00 per share and the recent equity raise to argue that additional capital supports long term expansion potential. Another might focus on the same US$100.00 estimate but emphasize decarbonization and electrification risks as reasons to assume more modest outcomes. Do you think there's more to the story for National Fuel Gas? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:NFG 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if National Fuel Gas might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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