A Look At Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.03-30

AdvertisementRecent share performance and business snapshot Wynn Resorts (WYNN) shares closed at US$96.59, with the stock showing a 2.9% decline over the past day and a 3.4% decline over the past week...

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Over the past month the stock has recorded a 10.7% decline and over the past 3 months a 21.0% decline, alongside a value score of 2 that may lead some investors to reassess how they view the company. Wynn Resorts generates US$7.14b in revenue and US$327.33m in net income across its integrated resort portfolio, which includes Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas operations and Encore Boston Harbor. See our latest analysis for Wynn Resorts. With the share price at US$96.59 and a 21.0% 3 month share price decline adding to a 21.2% year to date drop, recent momentum has been fading even though the 1 year total shareholder return of 18.4% shows longer term holders have still come out ahead. If Wynn Resorts has you thinking about where else capital could work hard in markets tied to real world assets, this is a good moment to scan 28 elite gold producer stocks With a value score of 2, an intrinsic value estimate slightly above the current US$96.59 share price, and a sizeable gap to analyst targets, investors are left asking whether this weakness signals a potential opportunity or if markets are already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 32.0% Undervalued At a last close of $96.59 against a narrative fair value of $142.11, Wynn Resorts is framed as materially discounted, with that gap built on detailed long term forecasts.  The imminent launch of Wynn Al Marjan Island, with first-mover advantage and limited near-term competition in a potentially multi-billion-dollar new market, is a major forward catalyst that is currently underappreciated by investors and could drive a meaningful step-change in both consolidated revenue and EBITDAR.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of revenue ramp, margin profile, and earnings multiple have to line up for that story to work? The full narrative spells out a detailed glide path for sales, profitability and valuation that sits behind the $142.11 fair value call, plus how a 10.90% discount rate shapes those projections. Result: Fair Value of $142.11 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, investors still need to weigh concentration in Macau and higher ongoing capital spending. Either factor could challenge the upbeat growth narrative if conditions soften. Find out about the key risks to this Wynn Resorts narrative. Another Way To Look At Wynn’s Value While the narrative fair value of $142.11 points to Wynn Resorts looking undervalued at $96.59, the SWS DCF model paints a different picture, with a future cash flow value of $87.71, which suggests the shares are a little rich on that measure. Which story do you think is closer to reality? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. WYNN Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Wynn Resorts for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 62 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps With mixed signals on value, risk and reward across the article, it makes sense to review the data yourself and decide how compelling Wynn really looks right now, then weigh up the 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas? If Wynn has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use focused stock lists to pressure test your thinking and make your next move with more confidence.  Target steadier compounding by checking out 64 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on resilience and downside protection. Hunt for quality at attractive prices with the 62 high quality undervalued stocks that combine healthy fundamentals with appealing valuations. Spot potential future leaders early by scanning the screener containing 25 high quality undiscovered gems before they land on everyone else’s radar.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Wynn Resorts might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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