Is It Too Late To Consider Curtiss-Wright (CW) After A 110% One Year Surge?

Simply Wall St.03-29

Wondering whether Curtiss-Wright at around US$663 per share still offers value, or if most of the opportunity has already been priced in. The stock has recorded a 1 year return of 109.8% and a 3 year ...

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The stock has recorded a 1 year return of 109.8% and a 3 year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-cw/curtiss-wright/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-curtiss-wright-cw-after-a-110-one\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Curtiss-Wright (CW) After A 110% One Year Surge?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Curtiss-Wright (CW) After A 110% One Year Surge?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-29 19:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-cw/curtiss-wright/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-curtiss-wright-cw-after-a-110-one><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering whether Curtiss-Wright at around US$663 per share still offers value, or if most of the opportunity has already been priced in. The stock has recorded a 1 year return of 109.8% and a 3 year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-cw/curtiss-wright/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-curtiss-wright-cw-after-a-110-one\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4187","symbol_name":"航天航空与国防","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-cw/curtiss-wright/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-curtiss-wright-cw-after-a-110-one","article_id":"2623563773","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3021000-choice2-main-header/1585186565541"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-cw/curtiss-wright/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-curtiss-wright-cw-after-a-110-one","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2623563773","pubTimestamp":1774782590,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering whether Curtiss-Wright at around US$663 per share still offers value, or if most of the opportunity has already been priced in.\nThe stock has recorded a 1 year return of 109.8% and a 3 year return of 279.6%. In contrast, the 7 day and 30 day returns of a 1.1% decline and a 5.3% decline hint at some recent cooling after a strong run.\nOver 5 years, Curtiss-Wright has delivered a very large total return of 463.7%. This naturally raises questions about what is now embedded in the...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4187":"航天航空与国防","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","CW":"寇蒂斯莱特","LU0054578231.USD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL SMALLCAP \"A2\" (USD) ACC","01322":"创达科技控股"},"translate_title":"在Curtiss-Wright(CW)一年飙升110%后，现在考虑是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CW":1.5,"01322":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Wondering whether Curtiss-Wright at around US$663 per share still offers value, or if most of the opportunity has already been priced in. The stock has recorded a 1 year return of 109.8% and a 3 year return of 279.6%. In contrast, the 7 day and 30 day returns of a 1.1% decline and a 5.3% decline hint at some recent cooling after a strong run. Over 5 years, Curtiss-Wright has delivered a very large total return of 463.7%. This naturally raises questions about what is now embedded in the price. These moves have put valuation front and center for investors assessing whether the recent performance aligns with the underlying fundamentals. Curtiss-Wright currently has a valuation score of 0 out of 6. The rest of this article will compare what different valuation methods say about the stock and then finish with a framework that can help you think about value more clearly than any single model alone.  Curtiss-Wright scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Curtiss-Wright Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today using a required rate of return to estimate what the business might be worth right now. For Curtiss-Wright, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $571.2 million. Analyst and extrapolated estimates suggest Free Cash Flow between $588.3 million and $943.9 million over the next decade, with the 2029 projection at $723.1 million and the 2035 projection at $943.9 million, all in $ and before discounting. After discounting those projected cash flows back to today, the DCF model produces an estimated intrinsic value of about $437.45 per share. Compared with a current share price of roughly $663, this implies the stock is about 51.7% above the DCF estimate. This indicates that the market price is meaningfully richer than what this cash flow model suggests. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Curtiss-Wright may be overvalued by 51.7%. Discover 62 high quality undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. CW Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Curtiss-Wright. Approach 2: Curtiss-Wright Price vs Earnings For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand for how much investors are currently paying for each dollar of earnings. It ties the share price directly to earnings power, which is often a primary driver of long term returns. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends a lot on expectations and risk. Higher expected earnings growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher multiple, while slower expected growth or higher uncertainty usually justifies a lower one. Curtiss-Wright currently trades on a P/E of 50.58x. That is above the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 35.69x and also above the peer group average of 47.46x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio framework goes a step further and estimates that a P/E of about 31.47x might be reasonable, based on factors like earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and company specific risks. This Fair Ratio is designed to be more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the industry because it adjusts for Curtiss-Wright’s own profile rather than assuming all companies deserve similar multiples. With a current P/E of 50.58x versus a Fair Ratio of 31.47x, Curtiss-Wright’s earnings based valuation looks rich on this measure. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:CW P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Curtiss-Wright Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as a simple way for you to connect your view of Curtiss-Wright’s story with the numbers by linking a business thesis to explicit forecasts for revenue, earnings, margins and a fair value that can be compared with today’s price. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives let you set out that story in a structured format, then automatically translate it into a financial model that updates when new information such as news or earnings arrives, so you can quickly see whether your fair value still holds up. This helps you decide whether Curtiss-Wright looks attractive or stretched at any point in time by lining up your Narrative based fair value against the live share price instead of relying only on a single multiple or DCF output. For Curtiss-Wright, one investor might lean toward a higher fair value such as about US$770 per share based on stronger growth and higher future P/E assumptions. Another might anchor closer to about US$308 per share with more cautious growth and a lower multiple, and Narratives make those different viewpoints explicit so you can see where you sit on that spectrum. For Curtiss-Wright, however, we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Curtiss-Wright Narratives: These sit on opposite sides of the debate, so you can quickly see how different assumptions about growth, margins, and future valuation multiples translate into very different fair values. 🐂 Curtiss-Wright Bull Case Fair value in this bullish narrative: US$711.43 per share. Implied discount to this fair value at the last close of US$663.56: about 6.7%. Revenue growth assumption used in this narrative: 7.73% a year.  Analyst-style assumptions link rising defense and nuclear demand, higher projected profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple to a fair value above US$700. Backlog strength, ongoing R&D, and capital returns such as buybacks sit at the center of the case that the current price does not fully reflect future earnings power. The narrative leans on modest differences between current price and analyst targets, so readers are encouraged to test those inputs against their own expectations.  🐻 Curtiss-Wright Bear Case Fair value in this more cautious narrative: US$404.40 per share. Implied premium to this fair value at the last close of US$663.56: about 64.1%. Revenue growth assumption used in this narrative: 6.4% a year.  The author highlights a record US$4.1b backlog, strong recent EPS and revenue figures, and exposure to nuclear and naval programs, but concludes the share price is well ahead of their estimate of intrinsic value. Key concerns include a high trailing P/E, dependence on specific naval platforms and nuclear programs, and the risk that any slowdown in order conversion could trigger profit-taking. The valuation framework applies a lower forward P/E to future earnings than the market currently assigns, which results in a fair value that is far below the current share price.  Together these Narratives frame the live debate around Curtiss-Wright, from growth-focused optimism to valuation-focused caution, so you can decide which assumptions line up more closely with your own view of the stock. Do you think there's more to the story for Curtiss-Wright? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:CW 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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