Is It Too Late To Consider Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) After Its Strong Share Price Run?

Simply Wall St.03-31

Wondering whether Woodside Energy Group is still good value at around A$35.22, or if the recent run has already priced in the upside. The share price sits at A$35.22, with returns of 1.2% over 7 days,...

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The share price sits at A$35.22, with returns of 1.2% over 7 days,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/energy/asx-wds/woodside-energy-group-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-woodside-energy-group-asxwds-afte\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) After Its Strong Share Price Run?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) After Its Strong Share Price Run?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-31 02:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/energy/asx-wds/woodside-energy-group-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-woodside-energy-group-asxwds-afte><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering whether Woodside Energy Group is still good value at around A$35.22, or if the recent run has already priced in the upside. The share price sits at A$35.22, with returns of 1.2% over 7 days,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/energy/asx-wds/woodside-energy-group-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-woodside-energy-group-asxwds-afte\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DCF","symbol_name":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/energy/asx-wds/woodside-energy-group-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-woodside-energy-group-asxwds-afte","article_id":"2623861326","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/873963-main-header/1585186983306"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/energy/asx-wds/woodside-energy-group-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-woodside-energy-group-asxwds-afte","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2623861326","pubTimestamp":1774893973,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering whether Woodside Energy Group is still good value at around A$35.22, or if the recent run has already priced in the upside.\nThe share price sits at A$35.22, with returns of 1.2% over 7 days, 24.4% over 30 days, 48.9% year to date, 61.5% over 1 year, 25.2% over 3 years and 113.7% over 5 years, which naturally raises questions about what is already reflected in the price.\nRecent coverage has focused on Woodside as a major ASX energy name, with attention on how its scale and project...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK7142":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","BK4211":"区域性银行","FCF":"第一联邦金融","WDS.AU":"WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD"},"translate_title":"在伍德赛德能源集团（ASX：WDS）股价强劲上涨后，现在考虑它是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FCF":1,"DCF":1,"WDS.AU":1},"content_text":"Wondering whether Woodside Energy Group is still good value at around A$35.22, or if the recent run has already priced in the upside. The share price sits at A$35.22, with returns of 1.2% over 7 days, 24.4% over 30 days, 48.9% year to date, 61.5% over 1 year, 25.2% over 3 years and 113.7% over 5 years, which naturally raises questions about what is already reflected in the price. Recent coverage has focused on Woodside as a major ASX energy name, with attention on how its scale and project portfolio position it within the sector. At the same time, broader conversations about energy security and capital allocation have kept the company on many investors' watchlists. On Simply Wall St's valuation checks, Woodside scores 4 out of 6. The next step is to unpack what different valuation methods say about that score and then look at an even richer way to think about value that ties the numbers back to the full investment story.  Woodside Energy Group delivered 61.5% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Oil and Gas industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Woodside Energy Group Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those cash flows back to today using a required return. It is essentially asking what those future dollars are worth in current terms. For Woodside Energy Group, the latest twelve month Free Cash Flow (FCF) is $981.1m. Using a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, analysts provide explicit FCF estimates out to 2027, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further to build a 10 year path. Within those projections, the 2035 FCF is estimated at $17.3b, with each year between 2026 and 2035 discounted back to today to reflect risk and the time value of money. On this basis, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of $255.67 per share. Compared with the current share price of A$35.22, this implies the shares are 86.2% undervalued on this model. For anyone relying on cash flow based valuation, Woodside screens as materially cheap on these assumptions. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Woodside Energy Group is undervalued by 86.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 8 more high quality undervalued stocks. WDS Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Woodside Energy Group. Approach 2: Woodside Energy Group Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a simple way to link what you pay for each share with the earnings that support that price. It helps you see how many dollars of share price the market is assigning to each dollar of profit. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends on how the market views a company’s growth prospects and risk profile. Higher expected growth and lower perceived risk can justify a higher multiple, while slower growth or higher risk usually point to a lower one. Woodside Energy Group currently trades on a P/E of 16.90x. That is above the Oil and Gas industry average of about 15.60x, but below the peer group average of 23.82x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Woodside is 22.22x, which is a proprietary estimate of what its P/E might be given factors such as earnings growth, profit margin, market cap, risk profile and its industry. This Fair Ratio aims to be more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the industry, because it adjusts for Woodside’s own characteristics rather than assuming all companies deserve similar multiples. Compared with the current 16.90x P/E, the 22.22x Fair Ratio suggests the shares are trading below that modelled level. Result: UNDERVALUED ASX:WDS P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 4 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Woodside Energy Group Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives on Simply Wall St let you attach a clear story about Woodside Energy Group to the numbers by linking your view of its projects, energy transition risks and execution to specific forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins. This turns that into a Fair Value you can easily compare with today’s A$35.22 share price to decide whether you see room to buy more, trim or hold. The platform keeps each Narrative current as new news or results arrive. Different investors can sit at very different points in that range, such as a more optimistic view that lines up with the higher fair value or price targets around A$39.73 or A$44.46, or a more cautious view closer to the lower A$21.46 or A$22.20 to A$22.81 outcomes, all visible on the Community page used by millions of investors. For Woodside Energy Group however, we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Woodside Energy Group Narratives: 🐂 Woodside Energy Group Bull Case Fair Value: A$39.73 Implied discount vs fair value: 11.3% undervalued Revenue growth assumption: 6.47%  The bullish view focuses on LNG projects such as Scarborough, Trion and Louisiana LNG. It assumes that strong execution and capital discipline support higher cash generation and shareholder returns. Analysts in this camp assume Woodside can support revenue of about US$15.5b and earnings of about US$2.7b by 2028, with the share price trading on a higher P/E of 20.9x compared with today. This narrative aligns with a fair value around A$39.73. Agreeing with it means accepting both the earnings path and a higher earnings multiple than the broader AU Oil and Gas industry.  🐻 Woodside Energy Group Bear Case Fair Value: A$31.69 Implied premium vs fair value: 11.1% overvalued Revenue growth assumption: 1.72%  The more cautious view highlights that the current price around A$35.22 already sits above the consensus fair value of about A$31.69. In this view, some optimism on project delivery and LNG demand is already factored in. Here, analysts model more modest revenue growth to about US$13.7b and earnings of about US$2.5b by 2029, with the shares on a future P/E of 20.2x, higher than today and above the sector average. This narrative places more weight on risks around decarbonization policies, regulatory approvals and project execution, suggesting less room for disappointment if those assumptions do not fully play out.  Do you think there's more to the story for Woodside Energy Group? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! ASX:WDS 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Woodside Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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