Is It Time To Revisit Futu Holdings (FUTU) After The Recent Share Price Pullback?

Simply Wall St.04-01

For investors considering whether Futu Holdings at around US$131 still offers value or is already pricing in its full story, this article walks through what the numbers are actually saying about the ...

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The share price has pulled back recently, with a 6.2% decline over the last 7 days and 11.7% over the past 30 days, even though the 1 year return sits at 28.4% and the 3 year return at 160.7%. Recent coverage around Futu Holdings has focused on its role as a digital brokerage player and how that position fits into ongoing interest in online trading platforms. This context helps frame why the stock has produced a 26.4% year to date decline alongside a 5 year return showing a 9.2% decline. On Simply Wall St's 6 point valuation framework, Futu Holdings currently records a valuation score of 6 out of 6. Next up is a look at how traditional valuation tools assess the stock, followed by an even more complete way to think about what that score really means for you.  Futu Holdings delivered 28.4% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Capital Markets industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Futu Holdings Excess Returns Analysis The Excess Returns model evaluates how much value a company can create over and above the return that equity investors typically require. Instead of focusing only on current earnings, it compares the return on equity with the cost of that equity and considers the company’s capacity to grow its book value over time. For Futu Holdings, the model uses a book value of $286.85 per share and a stable EPS estimate of $111.43 per share, based on weighted future Return on Equity estimates from 16 analysts. The average Return on Equity is 26.12%, while the cost of equity is $36.30 per share, which leads to an excess return of $75.12 per share. The analysis also assumes a stable book value of $426.66 per share, sourced from weighted future Book Value estimates from 10 analysts. Combining these inputs, the Excess Returns model produces an intrinsic value estimate of about $242.46 per share. Compared with a current share price around $131, this framework indicates the stock is 45.8% undervalued. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Futu Holdings is undervalued by 45.8%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 62 more high quality undervalued stocks. FUTU Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Futu Holdings. Approach 2: Futu Holdings Price vs Earnings For a profitable business like Futu Holdings, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand for how much you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. It links directly to the company’s earnings power, which is usually a primary driver of shareholder returns over time. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends on how the market views a company’s growth prospects and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk tends to justify a lower multiple. Futu Holdings currently trades on a P/E of 12.64x, compared with a Capital Markets industry average of 33.02x and a peer group average of 20.55x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Futu Holdings is 20.22x. This is a proprietary estimate of what the P/E might reasonably be, given factors such as earnings growth, industry, profit margin, market cap and key risks. It can be more informative than simple peer or industry comparisons because it adjusts for those company specific characteristics. With the current P/E of 12.64x sitting below the Fair Ratio of 20.22x, the shares screen as undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NasdaqGM:FUTU P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Futu Holdings Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. On Simply Wall St that comes through Narratives, where you pick a story for Futu Holdings, link that story to explicit forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins, and end up with a Fair Value that you can compare with the current share price to help decide whether to buy, hold or sell. This is all within an easy to use tool on the Community page that updates automatically when new news or earnings arrive. For example, one investor might align with a more cautious view that points to a Fair Value around US$193.04, while another leans toward a more optimistic view closer to US$281.97. Both are simply choosing different Narratives built from the same shared data. Do you think there's more to the story for Futu Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGM:FUTU 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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