By Anthony Harrup
The U.S. services economy posted its first contraction in more than three years at the end of the first quarter as a rise in energy prices brought on by the war in the Middle East eroded confidence, S&P Global said Friday.
S&P Global's purchasing managers index for services providers fell to 49.8 points in March from 51.7 in February, its first contractionary reading since January 2023, and down from the earlier flash estimate of 51.1. Readings below 50 point to contraction, above 50 indicates expansion.
"Confidence in the outlook weakened against a backdrop of rising cost pressures as a surge in energy prices following the outbreak of war in the Middle East cast a shadow over the sector," S&P Global said. Firms said the negative effect of the war on sentiment added to the adverse impact of trade tariffs.
"Clearly much depends on the duration of the conflict," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. The fact business confidence dipped but didn't slump "is a sign that businesses are hopeful of a swift resolution to the war."
There remains a concern, however, that energy disruption may last beyond the actual conflict and test the resilience of businesses and households in the coming months, he added.
Write to Anthony Harrup at anthony.harrup@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 03, 2026 11:34 ET (15:34 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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