A Look At Haidilao International Holding’s Valuation After Recent Share Price Moves

Simply Wall St.04-07

AdvertisementRecent share performance and business snapshot Haidilao International Holding (SEHK:6862) has seen mixed share performance, with a gain over the past week but a decline over the month. ...

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Returns over the past year and past 3 months remain negative.\nAgainst that backdrop, the company reports HK$43,225.355m in revenue and net income of HK$4,049.824m, with annual revenue growth of 6.51% and net income growth of 9.54%, mainly driven by its restaurant operations in Mainland China.\nSee our latest...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"06862":"海底捞","BK1591":"就地过年概念","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK1589":"北水核心资产","BK1233":"餐馆","BK1583":"高瓴概念","BK1604":"节假日概念","LU2488822045.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA HEALTHY LIVING \"AT\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"近期股价走势后看海底捞国际控股的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"06862":0.9,"DCF":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementRecent share performance and business snapshot Haidilao International Holding (SEHK:6862) has seen mixed share performance, with a gain over the past week but a decline over the month. Returns over the past year and past 3 months remain negative. Against that backdrop, the company reports HK$43,225.355m in revenue and net income of HK$4,049.824m, with annual revenue growth of 6.51% and net income growth of 9.54%, mainly driven by its restaurant operations in Mainland China. See our latest analysis for Haidilao International Holding. The recent 1 day share price return of 2.99% and 7 day share price return of 1.58% contrast with a 30 day share price return decline of 13.74%. At the same time, the 1 year total shareholder return of 11.44% and 5 year total shareholder return of 64.21% decline indicate that, despite near term momentum around HK$14.82, longer term investors have still faced meaningful capital and dividend underperformance. If Haidilao has you thinking about where else growth or recovery stories might emerge, this can be a good moment to scan for other consumer names and 96 top founder-led companies With the shares trading around HK$14.82, recent returns weak and both an analyst price target and intrinsic value estimate sitting higher, the key question is whether Haidilao is genuinely undervalued or if the market already prices in future growth. Preferred P/E of 17.9x: Is it justified? On a P/E of 17.9x, Haidilao trades at a richer earnings multiple than both its Hong Kong Hospitality peers at 16x and the estimated fair P/E of 13.4x. This suggests the share price is paying up for each unit of current earnings compared to those benchmarks. The P/E multiple compares the HK$14.82 share price with the company’s earnings per share and is a quick shorthand for how much the market is willing to pay for current profitability. For a restaurant operator whose main business is hot pot dining and related services, this kind of earnings based yardstick is commonly used because profits tend to be a key reference point for investors following consumer service names. Haidilao is viewed as expensive against both the peer average P/E of 13.6x and the industry P/E of 16x, and also against the SWS fair P/E estimate of 13.4x that the market could theoretically move toward if sentiment or expectations reset. That gap raises the question of whether investors are assigning a premium for its high quality earnings, strong current Return on Equity of 40.4%, and forecasts for earnings to grow around mid single digits annually, or whether they are simply overpaying for a business whose revenue and profit growth are expected to trail the broader Hong Kong market. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Haidilao International Holding Result: Price-to-earnings of 17.9x (OVERVALUED) However, the 1 year and 5 year total shareholder returns remain negative, and revenue is heavily concentrated in Mainland China, so any local pressure could quickly challenge the current premium. Find out about the key risks to this Haidilao International Holding narrative. Another view of value: what the cash flows say While the P/E of 17.9x points to an expensive share price versus peers and the fair ratio, the SWS DCF model tells a different story. At HK$14.82, Haidilao trades about 35% below an estimated value of HK$22.86, which frames the current price as a potential discount. The key question is which signal you trust more: the earnings multiple or the cash flow model. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 6862 Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Haidilao International Holding for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 248 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps Given the mixed signals on price, value and growth expectations, it can be useful to review the underlying data yourself and act promptly while opinions are still divided. To see the key trade offs that current investors are weighing, start by reviewing the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas? If Haidilao has sharpened your thinking, keep the momentum going by lining up your next watchlist candidates before the crowd focuses on them.  Target quality at a discount by reviewing companies highlighted in the 248 high quality undervalued stocks. Prioritise resilience by scanning the 285 resilient stocks with low risk scores and see which names score well on risk metrics. Spot future leaders early by checking the screener containing 583 high quality undiscovered gems before they attract wider attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Haidilao International Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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