A Look At Melco International Development (SEHK:200) Valuation After Its Return To Profit In 2025

Simply Wall St.04-05

AdvertisementMelco International Development’s earnings turnaround Melco International Development (SEHK:200) has moved back into the black, reporting full year 2025 net income of HK$1,058.31 million ...

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However, the 90 day share price return of a 2.33% decline and the 3...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK1172":"赌场与赌博","00200":"新濠国际发展","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc"},"translate_title":"新濠国际发展(SEHK：200)2025年扭亏为盈后估值一览","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"00200":0.9,"DCF":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementMelco International Development’s earnings turnaround Melco International Development (SEHK:200) has moved back into the black, reporting full year 2025 net income of HK$1,058.31 million on sales of HK$40,240.89 million after a loss the previous year. See our latest analysis for Melco International Development. The earnings return has arrived alongside a 10.82% 7 day share price return and a 5.26% 30 day share price return. However, the 90 day share price return of a 2.33% decline and the 3 year total shareholder return of a 40.05% decline suggest that longer term momentum is still rebuilding around the recent 1 year total shareholder return of 43.29%. If you are weighing up where to look next in the market, this could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist and check out 96 top founder-led companies With Melco International back in profit, trading at HK$4.20 with an indicated discount to a HK$5.30 target and a high intrinsic discount score, is the rebound underappreciated, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Price to earnings of 9x, is it justified? On a P/E of 9x, Melco International Development is described as good value compared with its own fair P/E of 12.4x, peers at 10.9x and the Hong Kong Hospitality industry at 16.1x. The P/E ratio links the HK$4.20 share price to the company’s earnings, so it is a quick way to see how much investors are currently paying for each dollar of profit. With earnings recently back in positive territory and forecast to grow faster than the wider Hong Kong market according to the statements provided, a lower P/E can suggest the market is assigning a cautious price to those profits. If the fair P/E estimate is reached over time, that would imply a higher level the market could move towards compared with today’s multiple. Against both peers and the broader industry, the 9x P/E stands at a clear discount compared with these groups. The fair value P/E of 12.4x is set higher again, which reinforces the idea that the current earnings multiple is on the low side relative to these comparison points. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Melco International Development Result: Price-to-earnings of 9x (UNDERVALUED) However, the long stretch of weaker multi year returns, combined with exposure to casino and hospitality cycles, means sentiment could cool again if trading conditions soften. Find out about the key risks to this Melco International Development narrative. Another view using the SWS DCF model While the 9x P/E points to good value, the SWS DCF model paints a very different picture, with an estimated future cash flow value of HK$35.70 per share versus the current HK$4.20. That gap is very large. Is this a genuine mispricing, or a sign that the model is too optimistic? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 200 Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Melco International Development for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 248 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps Mixed signals so far, right, with both risks and rewards in the picture. Check the data for yourself, weigh what matters most, and use the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop here, you could miss opportunities that fit your style even better. Keep building your shortlist with a few targeted idea lists.  Target potential bargains by scanning companies that combine quality, cash flow, and value using the 248 high quality undervalued stocks. Focus on resilience by checking out companies with stronger finances through the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (384 results). Hunt for future standouts before the crowd pays attention by screening with the screener containing 590 high quality undiscovered gems.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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