LIVE MARKETS-Low US tech valuations face lofty earnings expectations

Reuters00:12
LIVE MARKETS-Low US tech valuations face lofty earnings expectations

Nasdaq up ~0.3%, S&P 500 edges green; Dow declines ~0.4%

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Euro STOXX 600 index off ~0.2%

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LOW US TECH VALUATIONS FACE LOFTY EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS

Valuations for U.S. technology stocks have undergone a sharp re-rating this year as negative sentiment hit Wall Street, which provides an interesting mix at a time when earnings expectations for the space remain elevated.

The S&P 500 information technology index's .SPLRCT forward price-to-earnings (PE) ratio - a widely watched valuation metric - was last at around 21, hovering near its lowest level since January 2023, per LSEG data.

AI-related and other big tech stocks were under pressure earlier this year as investors grew uneasy over huge AI spending without near-term proof it would translate into faster revenue, stronger margins, and higher cash flow.

Skepticism also mounted over whether the industry's massive capital spending plans were generating returns strong enough to justify already-rich valuations.

The info tech index has fallen more than 2% so far this year after jumping more than 23% in 2025 - a major driver of gains in the broader S&P 500 .SPX at the time.

While shares in the broader sector have declined lately, earnings expectations from the heavyweights have only been revised higher.

First-quarter earnings growth for the info tech sector is currently estimated at 46.2%, up from 35.8% seen at the start of the year, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data.

Some Wall Street brokerages have put forth the case for "buying the dip" in broader U.S. stocks as resilient corporate earnings growth could cushion the fallout from the Middle East conflict.

J.P. Morgan analysts said in a note that given the sharp re-rating of the "Magnificent 7" technology stocks, the absolute downside might be more limited from here.

Chip giant Nvidia NVDA.O was last trading at around 21 times its 12-month forward earnings, well below its 10-year average of 36 and briefly hitting its lowest since early 2019.

Uncertainty growing from the Iran war has also hit U.S. equities broadly of late, but the tech index so far has been the best-performing sector since the conflict began in late February.

(Shashwat Chauhan)

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