Is It Too Late To Look At Olin (OLN) After The Recent Share Price Jump

Simply Wall St.04-16

Investors may be wondering whether Olin's recent share price moves still offer value, or if the easier gains have already occurred. Olin's stock has returned 14.3% over the last 30 days and 28.8% year...

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Olin's stock has returned 14.3% over the last 30 days and 28.8% year...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-oln/olin/news/is-it-too-late-to-look-at-olin-oln-after-the-recent-share-pr\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Look At Olin (OLN) After The Recent Share Price Jump</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Look At Olin (OLN) After The Recent Share Price Jump\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-16 20:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-oln/olin/news/is-it-too-late-to-look-at-olin-oln-after-the-recent-share-pr><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors may be wondering whether Olin's recent share price moves still offer value, or if the easier gains have already occurred. Olin's stock has returned 14.3% over the last 30 days and 28.8% year...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-oln/olin/news/is-it-too-late-to-look-at-olin-oln-after-the-recent-share-pr\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1169589451.USD","symbol_name":"ALLSPRING (LUX)  U.S. SELECT EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-oln/olin/news/is-it-too-late-to-look-at-olin-oln-after-the-recent-share-pr","article_id":"2627215127","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2021000-choice1-main-header/1585186559642"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-oln/olin/news/is-it-too-late-to-look-at-olin-oln-after-the-recent-share-pr","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2627215127","pubTimestamp":1776341588,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Investors may be wondering whether Olin's recent share price moves still offer value, or if the easier gains have already occurred.\nOlin's stock has returned 14.3% over the last 30 days and 28.8% year to date. Its 1‑year return is 41.2%, while the 3‑year and 5‑year returns are declines of 47.2% and 25.6%, respectively.\nRecent coverage has focused on Olin's positioning within the chemicals sector and how investors are reassessing companies with similar profiles. This context helps explain why...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1169589451.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX)  U.S. SELECT EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","OLN":"欧林","LU1169590202.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX)  U.S. SELECT EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4090":"商品化工"},"translate_title":"最近股价上涨后，现在关注奥林（OLN）是否为时已晚","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"OLN":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Investors may be wondering whether Olin's recent share price moves still offer value, or if the easier gains have already occurred. Olin's stock has returned 14.3% over the last 30 days and 28.8% year to date. Its 1‑year return is 41.2%, while the 3‑year and 5‑year returns are declines of 47.2% and 25.6%, respectively. Recent coverage has focused on Olin's positioning within the chemicals sector and how investors are reassessing companies with similar profiles. This context helps explain why shorter‑term returns differ so much from the longer‑term picture. Olin currently has a valuation score of 5 out of 6. The next sections break that down across different methods and then introduce an approach to assessing value that looks beyond the usual ratios and models.  Olin delivered 41.2% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Chemicals industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Olin Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a business might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today, so you can compare that value to the current share price. For Olin, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $201.2 million. Analyst estimates extend through 2028, with projected free cash flow of $387.7 million in that year. Beyond the analyst window, Simply Wall St extrapolates free cash flow further out, up to ten years, still in dollar terms and still at the millions level. Bringing all of those projected cash flows back to today gives an estimated intrinsic value of $72.08 per share. Against the current share price, the DCF output implies an intrinsic discount of 61.5%, which indicates that the stock is trading well below this model’s estimate of value. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Olin is undervalued by 61.5%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 60 more high quality undervalued stocks. OLN Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Olin. Approach 2: Olin Price vs Sales For companies where earnings can be uneven, price based on revenue can be a useful cross check, which is why the P/S ratio is the preferred metric here. It links what you pay for each share to the sales that the business is generating today. Expectations for growth and the level of risk tend to shape what investors see as a normal or fair P/S. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher multiple, while slower growth prospects or higher risk often line up with a lower one. Olin currently trades on a P/S of 0.47x, compared with the Chemicals industry average of 1.07x and a peer average of 1.49x. Simply Wall St also calculates a Fair Ratio of 0.79x for Olin, which is the P/S level suggested by factors such as its growth profile, profit margins, market cap, risk characteristics and industry. This Fair Ratio aims to be more tailored than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for company specific features rather than assuming all stocks deserve the same multiple. With the current P/S of 0.47x sitting below the Fair Ratio of 0.79x, Olin appears to be trading at a discount on this measure. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:OLN P/S Ratio as at Apr 2026 P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Olin Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. On Simply Wall St's Community page you can use Narratives, where you and other investors connect Olin's story to a set of numbers by choosing assumptions for future revenue, earnings, margins and a fair value. You can then compare that fair value to the current price to decide whether the stock looks attractive. Each Narrative updates automatically when new earnings or news arrive and spans a wide range of views, from an optimistic case that targets fair value of about US$28 based on higher revenue growth and margins, through to a cautious case closer to US$18 that assumes revenue pressure and tighter profitability. For Olin, however, we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Olin Narratives: 🐂 Olin Bull Case Fair value in this optimistic case: US$28.00 per share. At the last close of US$27.76, this is about 0.9% below that fair value, so the price is very close to what this bullish view implies. Revenue growth assumption: 4.63% a year.  Analysts in this camp see Olin benefiting from PVC expansion, higher value epoxy products, and steady military ammunition demand feeding into earnings and cash flow. Their models use improving profit margins and modest share count reduction, combined with a discount rate of 9.07%, to support the US$28.00 fair value. They also flag risks such as sector overcapacity, higher input costs, regulatory pressure, and potential long term demand shifts away from some of Olin's commodity chemicals.  🐻 Olin Bear Case Fair value in this cautious case: US$18.00 per share. With the last close at US$27.76, this implies the shares are about 54.2% above that fair value in this bearish view. Revenue growth assumption: 3.46% annual decline.  This narrative focuses on tighter sustainability rules, environmental liabilities, and competition from lower cost and greener alternatives as headwinds for volumes and margins. Bearish analysts build in declining revenue, only modest margin improvement, and a 9.25% discount rate, then apply a higher future P/E of 27.4x to reach the US$18.00 fair value. They acknowledge potential offsets such as PVC and partnership growth, cost savings, and Winchester strength, but still see current expectations as demanding relative to their assumptions.  Do you think there's more to the story for Olin? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:OLN 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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