Is It Time To Reconsider Texas Pacific Land (TPL) After The Recent Share Price Pullback?

Simply Wall St.04-16

If you have ever wondered whether Texas Pacific Land at around US$417 per share is now a bargain or still expensive, this breakdown will help you frame that question clearly. The stock has seen a 6.9%...

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The stock has seen a 6.9%...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-tpl/texas-pacific-land/news/is-it-time-to-reconsider-texas-pacific-land-tpl-after-the-re\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Time To Reconsider Texas Pacific Land (TPL) After The Recent Share Price Pullback?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Time To Reconsider Texas Pacific Land (TPL) After The Recent Share Price Pullback?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-16 20:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-tpl/texas-pacific-land/news/is-it-time-to-reconsider-texas-pacific-land-tpl-after-the-re><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you have ever wondered whether Texas Pacific Land at around US$417 per share is now a bargain or still expensive, this breakdown will help you frame that question clearly. The stock has seen a 6.9%...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-tpl/texas-pacific-land/news/is-it-time-to-reconsider-texas-pacific-land-tpl-after-the-re\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4213","symbol_name":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-tpl/texas-pacific-land/news/is-it-time-to-reconsider-texas-pacific-land-tpl-after-the-re","article_id":"2627215129","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/1032000-choice2-main-header/1585186674409"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-tpl/texas-pacific-land/news/is-it-time-to-reconsider-texas-pacific-land-tpl-after-the-re","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2627215129","pubTimestamp":1776341236,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you have ever wondered whether Texas Pacific Land at around US$417 per share is now a bargain or still expensive, this breakdown will help you frame that question clearly.\nThe stock has seen a 6.9% decline over the last week and a 20.8% decline over the last month, yet it still shows a 40.0% return year to date and a 146.2% return over three years.\nThat mix of shorter term weakness and stronger multi year returns often reflects shifting expectations around future prospects. Texas Pacific...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4213":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","TPL":"Texas Pacific Land Trust Sub Sha"},"translate_title":"最近股价回调后，是时候重新考虑德克萨斯太平洋土地公司（TPL）了吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TPL":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you have ever wondered whether Texas Pacific Land at around US$417 per share is now a bargain or still expensive, this breakdown will help you frame that question clearly. The stock has seen a 6.9% decline over the last week and a 20.8% decline over the last month, yet it still shows a 40.0% return year to date and a 146.2% return over three years. That mix of shorter term weakness and stronger multi year returns often reflects shifting expectations around future prospects. Texas Pacific Land is no exception. Recent coverage has focused on how investors are reassessing the stock after these moves, which makes a closer look at value especially timely. Texas Pacific Land currently has a valuation score of 0 out of 6. The next sections will walk through traditional valuation approaches and then finish with a different way to think about what this number really means for you.  Texas Pacific Land scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Texas Pacific Land Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those cash flows back to today. For Texas Pacific Land, the latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $180 million. Using a 2 stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, cash flows are projected forward, including analyst and extrapolated estimates. For example, Simply Wall St data includes $692 million in projected Free Cash Flow for 2026 and $1,143 million for 2035, both in $. Values between 2028 and 2034 are based on extrapolated growth rates provided in the model. When all of these projected cash flows are discounted back to today, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $337.88 per share. Compared with the current share price of around $417, this implies the stock is about 23.5% overvalued according to this DCF framework. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Texas Pacific Land may be overvalued by 23.5%. Discover 60 high quality undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. TPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Texas Pacific Land. Approach 2: Texas Pacific Land Price vs Earnings For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand for how much you are paying for each dollar of earnings. Investors usually accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger growth or see the business as relatively resilient, and a lower P/E when growth expectations are more modest or risks feel higher. Texas Pacific Land currently trades on a P/E of 59.76x. That is well above the Oil and Gas industry average P/E of 14.84x and above the peer average of 12.67x. Simply Wall St also provides a Fair Ratio of 23.12x, which reflects what its model suggests might be a more typical P/E for Texas Pacific Land given factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and specific risks. This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the broad industry because it adjusts for company specific characteristics rather than assuming all Oil and Gas stocks deserve similar multiples. Comparing the Fair Ratio of 23.12x with the current P/E of 59.76x suggests the shares are trading well above what this framework would consider a fair level. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:TPL P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Texas Pacific Land Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives take that further by letting you set a clear story for Texas Pacific Land, link that story to specific forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins, and then see the Fair Value that falls out of those assumptions. On Simply Wall St's Community page, Narratives are designed so you can quickly anchor your view in numbers. You can compare Fair Value to the current price to help frame potential buy or sell timing, and then see those views refresh automatically when new earnings, news or other data are added. For Texas Pacific Land, one investor might align with the higher analyst Fair Value around US$639 by assuming higher long term revenue growth, strong margins and a P/E above the industry. Another might lean closer to the lower Fair Value near US$252 by assuming more modest revenue growth, some margin pressure and a lower P/E. Narratives simply make those different viewpoints explicit and easy to track side by side. Do you think there's more to the story for Texas Pacific Land? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:TPL 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Texas Pacific Land might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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