U.K. Growth May Be Overstated, Risking BOE Overtightening -- Market Talk

Dow Jones04-20 19:18

1118 GMT - Data that showed U.K. GDP growing 0.5% on month in February likely exaggerates the strength of the economy, UBS Global Wealth Management economist Maelle Quillevere says in a note. Broader indicators continue to paint a softer picture of underlying demand, and the outlook remains fragile, she says. Energy costs are expected to push inflation back up, delaying a return to the Bank of England's 2% target until next year. BOE Gov. Andrew Bailey has stressed the uncertainty around second-round effects and the pass-through to domestic demand, saying the bank will act on evidence of how the conflict in the middle east impacts the economy, Quillevere notes. "In other words, the risk of overtightening into a slowdown now appears to weigh more heavily than the risk of acting too late," she says. (edward.frank@wsj.com)

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

April 20, 2026 07:18 ET (11:18 GMT)

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