Has Venture Global (VG) Pulled Back Enough To Consider The Recent Valuation Gap?

Simply Wall St.16:06

Wondering if Venture Global at US$11.46 is still good value after its recent run, or if most of the easy upside is already priced in. The stock has seen a mixed patch recently, with an 11.6% decline ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2628804761?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/1032000-choice2-main-header/1585186674409","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-04-19 16:06","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2628804761","market":"nz","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Has Venture Global (VG) Pulled Back Enough To Consider The Recent Valuation Gap?","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>Wondering if Venture Global at US$11.46 is still good value after its recent run, or if most of the easy upside is already priced in. The stock has seen a mixed patch recently, with an 11.6% decline ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-vg/venture-global/news/has-venture-global-vg-pulled-back-enough-to-consider-the-rec\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has Venture Global (VG) Pulled Back Enough To Consider The Recent Valuation Gap?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas Venture Global (VG) Pulled Back Enough To Consider The Recent Valuation Gap?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-19 16:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-vg/venture-global/news/has-venture-global-vg-pulled-back-enough-to-consider-the-rec><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering if Venture Global at US$11.46 is still good value after its recent run, or if most of the easy upside is already priced in. The stock has seen a mixed patch recently, with an 11.6% decline ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-vg/venture-global/news/has-venture-global-vg-pulled-back-enough-to-consider-the-rec\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SG9999014492.USD","symbol_name":"NIKKO AM ASEAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-vg/venture-global/news/has-venture-global-vg-pulled-back-enough-to-consider-the-rec","article_id":"2628804761","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/1032000-choice2-main-header/1585186674409"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-vg/venture-global/news/has-venture-global-vg-pulled-back-enough-to-consider-the-rec","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2628804761","pubTimestamp":1776585987,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering if Venture Global at US$11.46 is still good value after its recent run, or if most of the easy upside is already priced in.\nThe stock has seen a mixed patch recently, with an 11.6% decline over the last 7 days and a 27.5% decline over the last 30 days, yet it still shows a 62.8% gain year to date and a 33.8% return over the last year.\nThese moves have put valuation back in focus for many investors, especially as sentiment can shift quickly when expectations change. Even without...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SG9999014492.USD":"NIKKO AM ASEAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999001846.SGD":"Schroder Asian Equity Yield A Dis SGD","SG9999008742.SGD":"Eastspring Investments Unit Trusts - Singapore ASEAN Equity SGD","SG9999004360.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Thrift Fund SGD","BK4023":"应用软件","VG":"Venture Global, Inc.","BK6515":"技术设备股","BK6062":"电子制造服务","SG9999014484.SGD":"Nikko AM ASEAN Equity Fund A SGD","SG9999006266.SGD":"MANULIFE SINGAPORE EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","SG9999004220.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Asia Dividend Equity Fund  SGD","BK4213":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","SG9999001135.SGD":"United ASEAN Fund SGD","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","SG9999000475.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Singapore Equity SGD","V03.SI":"创业公司"},"translate_title":"Venture Global(VG)的回调是否足以考虑最近的估值差距？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"V03.SI":0.9,"VG":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Wondering if Venture Global at US$11.46 is still good value after its recent run, or if most of the easy upside is already priced in. The stock has seen a mixed patch recently, with an 11.6% decline over the last 7 days and a 27.5% decline over the last 30 days, yet it still shows a 62.8% gain year to date and a 33.8% return over the last year. These moves have put valuation back in focus for many investors, especially as sentiment can shift quickly when expectations change. Even without headline grabbing announcements, the recent volatility makes it more important to understand what the current price implies about future prospects. Simply Wall St currently gives Venture Global a value score of 5/6. This article will unpack that score using several valuation approaches, before finishing with a broader way to think about what it really means for long term investors.  Venture Global delivered 33.8% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Oil and Gas industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Venture Global Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today’s dollars, aiming to estimate what the entire business could be worth right now. For Venture Global, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on cash flow projections in $. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of $11,614.68 million, and analyst inputs plus Simply Wall St extrapolations suggest free cash flow remains negative in the near term, with projections such as $6,139.80 million and $6,118.67 million of outflows in 2026 and 2027, then shifting to inflows including $3,365.50 million in 2030. Discounting these annual figures back to today and adding them together gives an estimated intrinsic value of about $27.75 per share. Compared with the current share price of $11.46, this DCF output implies the stock trades at a 58.7% discount to that estimate. On these assumptions, the model indicates that Venture Global may be materially undervalued relative to this DCF estimate. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Venture Global is undervalued by 58.7%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 60 more high quality undervalued stocks. VG Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Venture Global. Approach 2: Venture Global Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to connect what you pay for each share with the earnings that support it. It helps you see how much the market is willing to pay today for each dollar of current earnings. What counts as a “normal” or “fair” P/E usually reflects how the market views a company’s growth potential and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher P/E, while lower growth expectations or higher risk often lead to a lower P/E. Venture Global currently trades on a P/E of 12.59x. That is below both the Oil and Gas industry average P/E of 14.88x and a broader peer group average of 29.73x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Venture Global is 13.19x, which is a proprietary estimate of what its P/E might be given factors such as earnings growth, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk profile. The Fair Ratio can be more useful than a simple industry or peer comparison because it is tailored to Venture Global’s own characteristics, rather than assuming all companies in the same sector deserve similar multiples. Compared with the current P/E of 12.59x, the Fair Ratio of 13.19x suggests the shares screen as slightly undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:VG P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Venture Global Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as a simple way for you to attach a clear story about Venture Global to the numbers you care about, such as fair value and your expectations for future revenue, earnings and margins. A Narrative on Simply Wall St’s Community page lets you set out why you think the business looks the way it does, link that story to a financial forecast, then translate it into a fair value that you can compare directly with the current share price to help decide whether the stock looks expensive or cheap to you. These Narratives update automatically when new information like news or earnings is added, and you can see how different investors disagree. For example, one Venture Global Narrative might lean toward a fair value close to US$4.50 while another points to something nearer US$20.00, reflecting very different views on long term LNG demand, margins and the impact of upcoming projects. For Venture Global, here are previews of two leading Venture Global Narratives: 🐂 Venture Global Bull Case Fair value in this bullish narrative: US$12.26 per share Implied discount to this fair value vs the current US$11.46 price: about 6.5% undervalued Analyst revenue growth assumption used in this narrative: 20.6% a year  This narrative assumes a rapid ramp up at Plaquemines and CP2, with capacity, modular design and cost control supporting higher long term revenue and EBITDA. It takes the view that long duration contracts and portfolio flexibility can support earnings, even with lower profit margins and more shares on issue. It aligns with analysts targeting a US$12.26 price, which rests on US$19.0b in revenue and US$1.8b in earnings by 2028 on a P/E of 22.5x, all discounted at 8.9%.  🐻 Venture Global Bear Case Fair value in this bearish narrative: US$9.00 per share Implied premium to this fair value vs the current US$11.46 price: about 27.3% overvalued Analyst revenue growth assumption used in this narrative: 12.7% a year  This narrative highlights arbitration uncertainty, high capital needs and possible cost overruns as key pressures on free cash flow, margins and returns. It builds in much thinner profit margins and lower earnings by 2028, with greater sensitivity to LNG prices as more cargos sit on shorter contracts. It anchors on a US$9.00 target that assumes US$15.5b of revenue and US$72.0m of earnings by 2028 on a very high P/E multiple, discounted at about 9.1%.  Together, these two Narratives frame a range of potential outcomes for Venture Global. You can use them as reference points to check your own expectations on LNG demand, project execution, arbitration risk and the price you are comfortable paying for the stock’s earnings profile. To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Venture Global on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. Do you think there's more to the story for Venture Global? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:VG 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2628804761","isCrawlerRequest":true}