Ferrari (RACE) Valuation Check After Recent Choppy Share Price Performance

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AdvertisementContext for Ferrari (RACE) After Recent Market Moves Ferrari (RACE) has drawn fresh attention as recent share price moves contrast with its mixed return profile, including a decline over ...

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The 1 year total shareholder return of 22.74% contrasts with stronger 3 and 5...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4555":"新能源车","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4588":"碎股","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","RACE":"法拉利"},"translate_title":"法拉利(RACE)近期股价表现波动后的估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"RACE":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementContext for Ferrari (RACE) After Recent Market Moves Ferrari (RACE) has drawn fresh attention as recent share price moves contrast with its mixed return profile, including a decline over the past year alongside gains in the past 3 months and over longer periods. See our latest analysis for Ferrari. Recent trading has been choppy, with a 7 day share price return of 5.61% and a 30 day share price return of 10.89%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 22.74% contrasts with stronger 3 and 5 year total shareholder returns of 29.58% and 71.57%. This suggests longer term momentum has been stronger than the current year to date trend. If Ferrari has you thinking about where else performance and risk are shifting, it can be useful to broaden your watchlist with 18 top founder-led companies With Ferrari trading around $351.95 and analyst targets sitting higher, yet recent 1-year returns showing a 22.74% decline, you need to ask: is this a rare opening, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 18% Undervalued Ferrari's most followed narrative pegs fair value around $428 per share, above the recent $351.95 close. This sets up a premium luxury earnings story built around disciplined growth and high margins.  Ferrari's expansion of infrastructure and product offerings, including the new e-building and paint shop for enhanced personalization, is expected to increase production flexibility, supporting revenue growth and improved net margins through operational efficiencies.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue runway, margin profile, and future earnings multiple are needed to bridge the gap between today’s price and that fair value? The narrative leans on a carefully layered mix of volume, pricing, personalization, and capital returns assumptions that are anything but conservative. Result: Fair Value of $428 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there is still real execution risk, ranging from potential brand dilution if six new 2025 models crowd the line up to ongoing supply chain pressures weighing on margins. Find out about the key risks to this Ferrari narrative. Another Check Using Earnings Multiples That $428 fair value is built on analyst forecasts, but the current P/E of 33.1x tells a different story. It sits well above the estimated fair ratio of 17.7x and the global auto average of 18.2x, although below the peer average of 44.3x. This points to real valuation risk if sentiment cools. Put simply, the share price already reflects a rich earnings tag. The key question is whether you see this premium narrowing toward the fair ratio or stretching closer to peers. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:RACE P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026Next Steps Not sure whether the latest moves leave Ferrari looking stretched or still interesting value? Take a closer look at the numbers, weigh the trade off between potential upside and the risks, and ground your view in 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign. Looking for more investment ideas? If Ferrari has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. Broaden your opportunity set with focused lists that surface different kinds of potential across the market.  Target resilient cash generators and capital strength by scanning companies in the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (42 results). Spot potential value opportunities before they are widely followed by reviewing the screener containing 25 high quality undiscovered gems. Position your income portfolio more confidently by comparing payout profiles across the 1 dividend fortresses.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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