Is It Too Late To Consider Union Pacific (UNP) After Strong Recent Share Price Gains

Simply Wall St.04-25 13:11

Wondering if Union Pacific at around US$268.70 is offering fair value or if the price is running ahead of itself? This breakdown will help you weigh what you are really paying for each dollar of its ...

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This breakdown will help you weigh what you are really paying for each dollar of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-union-pacific-unp-after-strong-re\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0738911758.USD","symbol_name":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-union-pacific-unp-after-strong-re","article_id":"2630744468","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/310078-main-header/1756255458363"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-union-pacific-unp-after-strong-re","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2630744468","pubTimestamp":1777093909,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering if Union Pacific at around US$268.70 is offering fair value or if the price is running ahead of itself? This breakdown will help you weigh what you are really paying for each dollar of its business.\nOver the short and medium term, the stock has posted returns of 7.0% over 7 days, 11.3% over 30 days, 15.9% year to date, and 28.9% over 1 year, with 47.1% over 3 years and 35.4% over 5 years.\nThese moves sit against a backdrop of ongoing interest in US rail operators and freight...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0545039389.USD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A2\" ACC","IE00BN8TJ469.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC","IE00BMG7P926.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Acc USD","BK4016":"铁路","UNP":"联合太平洋","LU1978683503.SGD":"Blackrock Sustainable Energy A2 SGD-H","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1303367103.USD":"摩根大通多经理另类基金 A (acc)","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2098885051.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Multi-Manager Alternatives A (acc) SGD","IE00BMG7P702.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IE00BMG7P694.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Mdis USD Plus","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","IE00B29SXL02.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) INC","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","IE00BD4GTT62.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge Infrastructure Value A SGD-H (mdis) plus","IE00B29SXK94.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1894683264.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS US EQUITY RESEARCH VALUE \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE EQUITY \"A\" ACC","IE00BD4GTW91.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) INC","LU0354030438.USD":"富国美国大盘成长基金Cl A Acc","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU1861214812.USD":"Blackrock Future of Transport A2 USD","LU0661504455.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A5 SGD-H","IE00BD4GTV84.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU1861219969.SGD":"Blackrock Future of Transport A2 SGD-H","LU0949170772.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","IE00BMG7P587.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOM \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","LU2275660780.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0553294199.USD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A5G\" (USD) INC","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","LU2360107325.USD":"BGF FUTURE OF TRANSPORT \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC"},"translate_title":"在近期股价强劲上涨后，考虑联合太平洋公司（UNP）是否为时已晚","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"UNP":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Wondering if Union Pacific at around US$268.70 is offering fair value or if the price is running ahead of itself? This breakdown will help you weigh what you are really paying for each dollar of its business. Over the short and medium term, the stock has posted returns of 7.0% over 7 days, 11.3% over 30 days, 15.9% year to date, and 28.9% over 1 year, with 47.1% over 3 years and 35.4% over 5 years. These moves sit against a backdrop of ongoing interest in US rail operators and freight activity, with Union Pacific often in focus when investors look at large transportation names. Broader sector commentary, regulatory discussions and infrastructure spending debates help shape how the market currently prices that exposure. Right now, Union Pacific scores a 4 out of 6 valuation check score. Next up is a closer look at what different models say about its worth and how one more holistic approach may help you put those numbers in better context by the end of this article.  Union Pacific delivered 28.9% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Transportation industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Union Pacific Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a business could be worth today by projecting the cash it may generate in the future and discounting those cash flows back to a present value. For Union Pacific, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $5.80b. Analyst and extrapolated projections suggest Free Cash Flow reaching around $10.31b by 2030, with interim yearly projections between 2026 and 2035 discounted back to today to build up the valuation. On this basis, the DCF model points to an estimated intrinsic value of about $327.03 per share. Against a recent share price around $268.70, this implies a 17.8% discount, which indicates that the stock appears undervalued on this model. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Union Pacific is undervalued by 17.8%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 56 more high quality undervalued stocks. UNP Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Union Pacific. Approach 2: Union Pacific Price vs Earnings For a consistently profitable company like Union Pacific, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. Investors usually accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger growth or perceive lower risk, and look for a lower P/E when growth expectations are more modest or the risk profile feels higher. Union Pacific currently trades on a P/E of 22.1x. That sits below the Transportation industry average P/E of 41.2x and below the peer group average of 28.1x. Simply Wall St also calculates a “Fair Ratio” for Union Pacific of 24.7x, which is the P/E level suggested by factors such as its earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. This Fair Ratio aims to be more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the broad industry, because it adjusts for company specific qualities rather than assuming every rail or transportation stock should trade on the same multiple. With the current P/E of 22.1x sitting below the 24.7x Fair Ratio, this approach indicates that Union Pacific is trading at a discount on an earnings basis. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:UNP P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Union Pacific Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Simply Wall St Narratives let you attach a clear story about Union Pacific to the numbers by linking your view of its future revenue, earnings and margins to a financial forecast. This can then be turned into a fair value you can compare with the current share price, all within an easy tool on the Community page that updates as news or earnings arrive and can reflect very different perspectives. For example, one investor might build a Narrative around the higher US$311 analyst price target with a stronger view on merger benefits, while another anchors to the lower US$218 target with more weight on trade and regulatory risks. Do you think there's more to the story for Union Pacific? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:UNP 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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