Is James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) Share Price Swing Creating A Valuation Opportunity Today

Simply Wall St.05-01

If you are wondering whether James Hardie Industries at around A$29.10 is a bargain or just fairly priced, the next sections will walk through what the current share price might be implying. The stock...

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The stock...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-jhx/james-hardie-industries-shares/news/is-james-hardie-industries-asxjhx-share-price-swing-creating\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) Share Price Swing Creating A Valuation Opportunity Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) Share Price Swing Creating A Valuation Opportunity Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-01 14:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-jhx/james-hardie-industries-shares/news/is-james-hardie-industries-asxjhx-share-price-swing-creating><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether James Hardie Industries at around A$29.10 is a bargain or just fairly priced, the next sections will walk through what the current share price might be implying. The stock...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-jhx/james-hardie-industries-shares/news/is-james-hardie-industries-asxjhx-share-price-swing-creating\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"JHX.AU","symbol_name":"JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES-CDI","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-jhx/james-hardie-industries-shares/news/is-james-hardie-industries-asxjhx-share-price-swing-creating","article_id":"2632616363","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2031000-choice1-main-header/1585186745257"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-jhx/james-hardie-industries-shares/news/is-james-hardie-industries-asxjhx-share-price-swing-creating","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2632616363","pubTimestamp":1777617752,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether James Hardie Industries at around A$29.10 is a bargain or just fairly priced, the next sections will walk through what the current share price might be implying.\nThe stock has had a mixed run, with an 11.5% gain over the last 30 days, a 4.6% decline over the past week, and returns of 5.5% lower year to date and 21.8% lower over the last year.\nRecent coverage has focused on how these share price swings fit into the broader story for James Hardie Industries,...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"JHX.AU":"JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES-CDI","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4011":"建筑材料","BK7044":"建筑材料","JHX":"詹姆斯哈迪"},"translate_title":"James Hardie Industries(ASX：JHX)的股价波动今天是否创造了估值机会","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"JHX":1.5,"DCF":1,"JHX.AU":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether James Hardie Industries at around A$29.10 is a bargain or just fairly priced, the next sections will walk through what the current share price might be implying. The stock has had a mixed run, with an 11.5% gain over the last 30 days, a 4.6% decline over the past week, and returns of 5.5% lower year to date and 21.8% lower over the last year. Recent coverage has focused on how these share price swings fit into the broader story for James Hardie Industries, including investor reactions to updated corporate developments and changing sentiment toward the Basic Materials sector. This context helps explain why the share price has been volatile over different time frames. Right now the company scores a 2 out of 6 on our valuation checks. The rest of this article will compare different valuation approaches to that score and will also point you toward an even clearer way to think about value at the end.  James Hardie Industries scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: James Hardie Industries Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model looks at the cash James Hardie Industries is expected to generate in the future, then discounts those cash flows back to today to estimate what the business might be worth now. On this approach, the starting point is last twelve months Free Cash Flow of about $106.4 million. Analysts provide detailed forecasts for the next few years, and Simply Wall St then extends those projections further out. By 2028, the model uses a projected Free Cash Flow of $743.4 million, with additional estimates carrying on through 2035 using a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity framework. Bringing all those projected cash flows back to today results in an estimated intrinsic value of about $39.63 per share. Compared with the current share price of around A$29.10, the DCF output suggests James Hardie Industries is trading at roughly a 26.6% discount and therefore appears undervalued on this cash flow view. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests James Hardie Industries is undervalued by 26.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 9 more high quality undervalued stocks. JHX Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for James Hardie Industries. Approach 2: James Hardie Industries Price vs Earnings The P/E ratio is a common way to think about value for profitable companies because it links what you pay for each share to the earnings that company is currently generating. In general, higher expected growth and lower perceived risk can support a higher “normal” or “fair” P/E, while slower growth or higher risk usually point to a lower one. James Hardie Industries is currently trading on a P/E of about 101.5x, compared with an industry average of around 15.7x and a peer average of about 34.6x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio framework estimates that, given factors such as earnings growth, industry, profit margin, market cap and risk profile, a P/E closer to 27.3x would be more typical for this company. This Fair Ratio is designed to be more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the broader Basic Materials group, because it adjusts for company specific characteristics instead of assuming that all firms deserve similar multiples. Comparing the current P/E of 101.5x with the Fair Ratio of 27.3x suggests the shares are pricing in a much richer multiple than this model implies. Result: OVERVALUED ASX:JHX P/E Ratio as at May 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 4 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your James Hardie Industries Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as a simple way for you to attach a clear story about James Hardie Industries to your own numbers, linking assumptions for future revenue, earnings and margins to a Fair Value that can then be compared with the current share price. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are available as an accessible tool used by millions of investors, allowing you to set out why you think the company might justify something closer to a higher Fair Value such as A$47.18 or a lower one such as A$24.78, then instantly see how that view translates into a Fair Value that sits above or below today’s price and what that might mean for your timing decisions. Because Narratives on the platform update automatically when new information like earnings releases or news arrives, your chosen James Hardie Industries story, whether closer to the more optimistic A$47.18 view or the more cautious A$24.78 view, stays aligned with the latest data so you can quickly reassess whether your Fair Value still makes sense against the live market price. Do you think there's more to the story for James Hardie Industries? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! ASX:JHX 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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