Dollar slides as Iran ceasefire unwinds safe‑haven trade

cryptonews05-01 03:30

The dollar index is heading for its biggest monthly drop since June 2025 as U.S.–Iran ceasefire hopes unwind the war premium, even while oil and Fed bets keep it range‑bound. Summary The dollar ...

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDollar slides as Iran ceasefire unwinds safe‑haven trade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-01 03:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://crypto.news/dollar-slides-as-iran-ceasefire-unwinds-safe-haven-trade/><strong>cryptonews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The dollar index is heading for its biggest monthly drop since June 2025 as U.S.–Iran ceasefire hopes unwind the war premium, even while oil and Fed bets keep it range‑bound.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nThe dollar ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://crypto.news/dollar-slides-as-iran-ceasefire-unwinds-safe-haven-trade/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"TLT","symbol_name":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/dollar-slides-as-iran-ceasefire-unwinds-safe-haven-trade/","article_id":"2632663544","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/dollar-slides-as-iran-ceasefire-unwinds-safe-haven-trade/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2632663544","pubTimestamp":1777577400,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"crypto_news_highlight","name":"Crypto News"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The dollar index is heading for its biggest monthly drop since June 2025 as U.S.–Iran ceasefire hopes unwind the war premium, even while oil and Fed bets keep it rangebound.The dollar index is heading for its steepest monthly drop since June 2025 as traders unwind safehaven positions following a U.S.–Iran ceasefire agreement.The dollar is on track for its largest monthly decline since June of last year as hopes for a lasting U.S.–Iran ceasefire cool demand for the greenback as a crisis hedge. Data cited by the outlet show the dollar index falling roughly 1.8% in April, erasing the bulk of its wardriven gains as traders step back from crowded safehaven positions built up during the first two months of the conflict.For crypto investors, a weaker dollar often goes hand in hand with easier financial conditions and stronger risk appetite. Earlier in the year, a sharp weekly drop in the dollar index coincided with renewed inflows into Bitco","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"crypto.news","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares"},"translate_title":"伊朗停火解除避险交易，美元下跌","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"US5Y.BOND":0.63,"US6M.BOND":0.63,"US7Y.BOND":0.63,"US2Y.BOND":0.63,"US12M.BOND":0.63,"US3Y.BOND":0.63,"US10Y.BOND":0.63,"TLT":0.6,"US30Y.BOND":0.63},"content_text":"The dollar index is heading for its biggest monthly drop since June 2025 as U.S.–Iran ceasefire hopes unwind the war premium, even while oil and Fed bets keep it range‑bound.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nThe dollar index is heading for its steepest monthly drop since June 2025 as traders unwind safe‑haven positions following a U.S.–Iran ceasefire agreement.\nJinshi News reports the index fell about 1.8% in April, though a late rebound driven by higher oil prices and shifting Federal Reserve expectations has pared some losses.\nManulife portfolio manager Nathan Tuft expects the greenback to decline from here but remain “range‑bound” as markets balance de-escalation in the Middle East with the prospect of tighter U.S. monetary policy in 2027.\n\n\n\nThe dollar is on track for its largest monthly decline since June of last year as hopes for a lasting U.S.–Iran ceasefire cool demand for the greenback as a crisis hedge. Data cited by the outlet show the dollar index falling roughly 1.8% in April, erasing the bulk of its war‑driven gains as traders step back from crowded safe‑haven positions built up during the first two months of the conflict.\nThe pullback follows an agreement earlier this month between Washington and Tehran that paused large‑scale strikes and opened the door to formal peace talks, a shift that eased fears of supply shocks and regional escalation. As the perceived tail‑risk receded, investors rotated back into higher‑yielding assets and other currencies, pushing the dollar index toward the bottom of its recent trading range.\nOil and Fed expectations slow the slide\nThe dollar’s retreat, however, has not been a straight line lower. Crude prices have pushed higher again on lingering supply concerns, helping the dollar claw back some ground as energy importers hedge exposure and rate markets reassess how quickly the Federal Reserve can pivot back to easing.\nJinshi News notes that renewed bets on at least one Fed rate hike in 2027 have lifted short‑term Treasury yields, supporting the greenback after its early‑month slump.A stronger path for policy rates typically makes U.S. assets more attractive, narrowing interest rate differentials that had briefly moved against the dollar when ceasefire headlines first hit.\nNathan Tuft, a senior portfolio manager at Manulife, told the outlet that “looking ahead, the dollar may decline but will still maintain a range‑bound fluctuation,” suggesting that even as haven demand fades, the currency is unlikely to collapse outright. Recent forecasts compiled by TradingEconomics point to the dollar index oscillating around the high‑90s to near‑100 area over the coming quarters, consistent with Tuft’s view that the move from here will be more sideways than trending.\nWhy crypto traders care about a softer dollar\nFor crypto investors, a weaker dollar often goes hand in hand with easier financial conditions and stronger risk appetite. Earlier in the year, a sharp weekly drop in the dollar index coincided with renewed inflows into Bitcoin and other majors as investors rotated out of cash and Treasuries into higher‑beta assets.\nIn prior cycles, a mix of Fed dovishness and dollar softness has helped power large Bitcoin rallies, as detailed in a previous crypto.news story. Another story highlighted how falling exchange reserves and a softer dollar environment can combine to create a supply‑squeeze backdrop for Bitcoin when risk sentiment improves.\nMarket strategists have also warned that geopolitical swings around the U.S.–Iran conflict can quickly flip risk sentiment, whipsawing both the dollar and digital assets. A recent crypto.news story mapped how rising tensions boosted safe‑haven demand for the dollar and Bitcoin alike, underscoring how any breakdown in ceasefire talks could send the greenback sharply higher again.\nFor now, though, the consensus view from Jinshi News and institutional managers is that the dollar has room to drift lower as war risk recedes, but will likely do so inside a broad range rather than entering a new secular downtrend.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.1","shortVersion":"4.42.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2632663544","isCrawlerRequest":true}