Does Rubrik (RBRK) Offer Value After Recent Share Price Rebound?

Simply Wall St.05-02

If you are wondering whether Rubrik's current share price reflects its true worth, this breakdown will help you connect the recent moves in the stock to what the underlying valuation signals are ...

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Rubrik last closed at US$55.07, with returns of 5.3% over the past week and 13.3% over the past month, while the 1 year return sits at a 24.9% decline. Recent trading interest has been influenced by ongoing attention on data security and cloud software providers, as investors reassess how these types of businesses are priced in the market. This context helps frame Rubrik's pullback in year to date and 1 year returns against more recent positive momentum. Rubrik currently holds a value score of 2 out of 6. This means it screens as undervalued on only a minority of the checks that will be examined next. The following sections will walk through those valuation methods, with a broader way to think about Rubrik's value story saved for the end of the article.  Rubrik scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Rubrik Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting future cash flows and discounting them back to today using a required return. It focuses on what the business may generate in cash for shareholders over time, rather than just current earnings multiples. For Rubrik, the DCF uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, starting from last twelve months free cash flow of about $240.3 million. Analysts provide explicit forecasts for several years, and Simply Wall St then extends those cash flow projections further out. Under this framework, projected free cash flow for 2031 is $904.2 million, with additional estimates continuing out to 2035, all expressed in dollars and discounted back to today. Bringing these discounted cash flows together gives an estimated intrinsic value of $79.89 per share. Versus the recent share price of $55.07, the model implies Rubrik trades at roughly a 31.1% discount to this DCF estimate, which screens as undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Rubrik is undervalued by 31.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 51 more high quality undervalued stocks. RBRK Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Rubrik. Approach 2: Rubrik Price vs Sales For companies where earnings are not yet a steady guide, the P/S ratio is often more useful than P/E or P/B, because it relates the share price to revenue, which tends to be more stable while profits are still being built out. What counts as a reasonable P/S multiple depends on factors such as expected growth, profitability and risk. Higher growth and stronger margins can support higher P/S levels, while higher risk usually calls for a lower multiple. Rubrik currently trades on a P/S ratio of 8.61x. This sits above the wider Software industry average P/S of 3.77x and above a peer group average of 4.86x, which on simple comparisons alone can make the stock look expensive. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Rubrik is 7.69x. This proprietary estimate reflects what P/S might be expected given Rubrik’s earnings growth profile, its industry, profit margins, market cap and key risks. Because it pulls these inputs together in one number, the Fair Ratio can be more tailored than a basic check against peers or the overall industry. Comparing the current 8.61x P/S to the 7.69x Fair Ratio suggests Rubrik screens as overvalued on this measure. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:RBRK P/S Ratio as at May 2026 P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 18 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Rubrik Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. This is where Narratives come in, giving you a simple way to attach a story about Rubrik to the numbers you have seen, from fair value estimates through to future revenue, earnings and margins. A Narrative on Simply Wall St is your own view on how a company’s business might develop, linked directly to a financial forecast and an implied fair value, rather than just a collection of disconnected metrics. On the Community page, which is used by millions of investors, Narratives are set up as an easy tool so you can see how a particular story about Rubrik, such as stronger identity resilience adoption or slower AI agent take up, feeds into different assumptions and a different fair value. Narratives then help you compare that fair value to Rubrik’s current share price to decide whether the gap between price and value looks attractive or stretched for your own approach, without telling you what to do. Because Narratives update automatically when new information such as earnings or product news is added, your story and valuation stay aligned with the latest data rather than becoming stale. For example, one Rubrik Narrative might lean closer to the higher analyst fair value of US$130.0, while another could sit nearer the lower US$65.27 view. Seeing both side by side helps you decide which story you find more realistic. Do you think there's more to the story for Rubrik? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:RBRK 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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