Is Ollie's (OLLI) Recent Share Price Slump Creating A Fair Value Opening

Simply Wall St.05-08

If you are wondering whether Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is starting to look attractively priced, the recent share performance gives you a useful entry point to think about value. The stock closed...

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The stock closed...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/retail/nasdaq-olli/ollies-bargain-outlet-holdings/news/is-ollies-olli-recent-share-price-slump-creating-a-fair-valu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Ollie's (OLLI) Recent Share Price Slump Creating A Fair Value Opening</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Ollie's (OLLI) Recent Share Price Slump Creating A Fair Value Opening\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-08 22:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/retail/nasdaq-olli/ollies-bargain-outlet-holdings/news/is-ollies-olli-recent-share-price-slump-creating-a-fair-valu><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is starting to look attractively priced, the recent share performance gives you a useful entry point to think about value. The stock closed...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/retail/nasdaq-olli/ollies-bargain-outlet-holdings/news/is-ollies-olli-recent-share-price-slump-creating-a-fair-valu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4220","symbol_name":"综合零售","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/retail/nasdaq-olli/ollies-bargain-outlet-holdings/news/is-ollies-olli-recent-share-price-slump-creating-a-fair-valu","article_id":"2633450633","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4432000-choice1-main-header/1585186862198"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/retail/nasdaq-olli/ollies-bargain-outlet-holdings/news/is-ollies-olli-recent-share-price-slump-creating-a-fair-valu","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2633450633","pubTimestamp":1778251311,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is starting to look attractively priced, the recent share performance gives you a useful entry point to think about value.\nThe stock closed at US$81.77, with returns of a 5.5% decline over the last week, 14.9% decline over the last month, 26.5% decline year to date and 24.9% decline over the past year. This is set against a 23.7% gain over three years and 3.2% gain over five years.\nThese mixed share price moves have kept Ollie's...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4220":"综合零售","BK4114":"综合货品商店","OLLI":"Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc"},"translate_title":"奥利（OLLI）最近的股价暴跌是否创造了公允价值开盘","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"OLLI":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is starting to look attractively priced, the recent share performance gives you a useful entry point to think about value. The stock closed at US$81.77, with returns of a 5.5% decline over the last week, 14.9% decline over the last month, 26.5% decline year to date and 24.9% decline over the past year. This is set against a 23.7% gain over three years and 3.2% gain over five years. These mixed share price moves have kept Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings on many investors' watchlists as they reassess what a reasonable price looks like now. Recent coverage has focused on how the discount retailer is positioned within the US retail sector and what that might mean for sentiment toward the stock. Right now, the company scores a 3 out of 6 valuation score. This raises the question of what different valuation methods say about the stock and whether there is an even better way to think about value that will be covered at the end of this article.  Find out why Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's -24.9% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting future cash flows and discounting them back to today using a required rate of return. For Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, built on cash flow projections in $. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $165.9 million. Analysts provide explicit estimates for several years, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further to build a 10 year path of free cash flow that reaches a projected $433.0 million in 2035. After discounting each of these annual cash flows back to today and adding them up, the DCF model points to an estimated intrinsic value of about $83.85 per share. Compared with the recent share price of $81.77, that implies the stock is around 2.5% undervalued. This is a relatively small gap and suggests the current price is close to the modelled fair value. Result: ABOUT RIGHT Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment's notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act. OLLI Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings. Approach 2: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Price vs Earnings For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful check on how much you are paying for each dollar of earnings. It reflects what the market is willing to pay today, while growth expectations and risk help shape what a normal or fair P/E should be for that stock. Higher expected earnings growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher P/E ratio, while slower growth or higher risk usually point to a lower one. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings currently trades on a P/E of 20.7x, compared with the Multiline Retail industry average of 19.4x and a peer group average of 33.3x. Simply Wall St's Fair Ratio is a proprietary estimate of what the P/E ought to be, given factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and company specific risks. Because it pulls these elements together in one number, it can be more tailored than simply lining the stock up against peers or the broad industry. For Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, the Fair Ratio is 17.5x, which is below the current P/E of 20.7x, suggesting the stock is OVERVALUED when viewed through this lens. Result: OVERVALUED NasdaqGM:OLLI P/E Ratio as at May 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives are introduced here as simple stories you create about Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings that tie your view of its business, revenue, earnings and margins to a financial forecast and a fair value. These Narratives sit within an easy tool on Simply Wall St's Community page that lets you compare that fair value with the current share price, see how it stacks up against other investors' Narratives, and watch it refresh automatically when new news or earnings arrive. One investor might build a Narrative closer to the higher analyst price target of US$157.0 with stronger long term assumptions, while another could lean toward the lower target of US$120.0 with more cautious expectations. Both can clearly see how their story translates into numbers and a decision about whether the stock looks expensive or cheap to them. Do you think there's more to the story for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGM:OLLI 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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