By Nick Timiraos
Four months ago, a big question for the Federal Reserve was whether it needed to keep cutting interest rates to support what appeared to be a shaky labor market. That question is gone. The labor market has steadied and inflation is now drifting up instead of down due to the effects of tariffs and the Iran war.
The April jobs report underscores how the outlook has shifted and should put the focus squarely on inflation data when it comes to determining where the Fed-now firmly on pause-goes from here.
Hiring held up, the unemployment rate didn't budge, and income growth was solid in April. None of that builds a case for easing. With the labor market giving the Fed cover to wait, the next move on the policy debate is when and how to tilt toward a neutral bias that suggests a rate hike could be as likely as a rate cut. The answer could turn almost entirely on the inflation numbers.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 08, 2026 08:59 ET (12:59 GMT)
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