【“大空头”知名投资人评AI:堪比1999—2000年互联网泡沫】据报道,5月8日标普500指数再创历史新高,同一天,伯里在订阅平台Substack发布市场警示。 他直言:“股市涨跌根本不是由就业数据或消费者信心决定。大盘一味直线上涨,只靠一个所有人都自以为看懂的两个字母主题在支撑。眼下氛围,如同1999至2000年泡沫最后的疯狂阶段。” 他这样概括当下市场舆论:“全天从头到尾,话题只有AI,没人讨论其他任何事。”在伯里看来,市场被单一主题完全主导,正是泡沫末期的典型特征。 伯里警示中最具体的一点,是将费城半导体指数类比2000年3月科技股崩盘前夕的走势。数据显示,截至5月8日的单周内,该指数大涨超10%,2026年年内涨幅逼近65%,成分股涵盖英伟达、博通、英特尔、美光、台积电等巨头。 伯里认为,这种急速拉升的走势,复刻了互联网泡沫末期科技股的抛物线式暴涨,随后便迎来大跌。
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