Assessing Newell Brands (NWL) Valuation After The Toy Story 5 Collaboration With Disney And Pixar

Simply Wall St.05-11

Newell Brands (NWL) is drawing fresh attention after unveiling a Toy Story 5 themed Sharpie and Elmer’s collection with Disney and Pixar, a marketing driven collaboration that could influence how ...

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See our latest analysis for Newell Brands. The Toy Story 5 collaboration lands after a volatile stretch, with a 30 day share price return of 25% and a year to date share price gain of 19.62%. This is set against a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 10.18%, which underlines how longer term performance has been weak even as short term momentum has picked up. If this kind of branded product tie up catches your eye, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist with 18 top founder-led companies With the stock up strongly over the past month yet still carrying weak multi year returns and trading below some analyst targets, the key question is whether Newell Brands is still unloved value or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 11.9% Undervalued At a last close of $4.45 versus a narrative fair value of $5.05, Newell Brands is framed as undervalued, with that gap pinned on future earnings repair rather than recent Toy Story headlines.  Aggressive ongoing cost-saving initiatives, productivity improvements, and ERP system harmonization are expected to enable structural operating margin expansion, drive sustainable EBITDA and EPS growth, and ultimately improve the company's leverage profile.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what is baked into that earnings rebuild story? The narrative leans on margin repair, steadier revenue, and a future profit multiple that sits below the sector. The exact mix of assumptions may surprise you. Result: Fair Value of $5.05 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on revenue pressure easing and on high net leverage not becoming a bigger problem if consumer demand or trade policies move against Newell Brands. Find out about the key risks to this Newell Brands narrative. Next Steps Mixed signals or early recovery story? If you think both risk and reward are on the table here, move quickly and size them up with 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas? If Newell Brands is on your radar, do not stop here. Broaden your opportunity set with carefully filtered stock ideas built from clear fundamentals and proven metrics.  Target potential mispricings by scanning companies that combine quality with attractive valuations using the 51 high quality undervalued stocks. Prioritise resilience and sleep better at night by focusing on businesses highlighted in the 71 resilient stocks with low risk scores. Hunt for potential future winners before the crowd notices by screening through the screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Newell Brands might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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