“AI投资巨浪”开始反噬美股?高盛警告:重要上行支撑正被蚕食

格隆汇05-09

在AI这场耗资庞大的“军备赛”中,企业正在全力以赴“烧钱”。但这并非没有代价:它们回购股票的速度正在放缓。高盛指出,随着人工智能资本支出增长,企业回购股票的速度正在放缓。尤其是,引领人工智能支出的超大规模企业,其股票回购增速放缓的幅度更为显著,这拖累了整体市场的股票回购率。

该行分析师在最新报告中写道:“人工智能投资热潮将推动标普500指数成分股公司持续从股票回购转向资本支出。” 股票回购通常对股价有利,当公司认为其股票被低估时,回购可以为股价提供支撑。回购还可以减少市场上的股票数量,从而推高股价。根据高盛的预测,2026年标普500指数成分股公司的资本支出将增长33%,而股票回购总额仅增长3%。相比之下,2025年资本支出增长率为20%,股票回购增长率为9%。

分析师们指出:“Q1财报季凸显了资金用途从股票回购转向资本支出和研发的趋势。标普500指数第一季度资本支出增长率为39%,而标普500指数股票回购总额仅增长1%。”

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