Under Armour (UAA) Valuation Check After Earnings Miss And Cautious Outlook Shake Turnaround Story

Simply Wall St.05-15

Under Armour (UAA) is back in focus after its latest quarterly update, where flat sales, a wider annual loss and cautious guidance for a slight revenue decline prompted a sharp pullback in the stock. ...

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See our latest analysis for Under Armour. The post-earnings drop, a 7 day share price return of down 20.9%, has added to a 90 day share price return of down 27.3% and a 1 year total shareholder return of down 18.5%, indicating that momentum has been fading for some time. If Under Armour’s reset has you reassessing your options, it could be a good moment to widen your search and check out 20 top founder-led companies With the share price under pressure, a value score of 3 out of 5, and the stock trading below the average analyst price target, investors may now be asking whether this represents a reset opportunity or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 33.9% Undervalued Under Armour's most followed narrative points to a fair value of $7.73 per share, well above the last close at $5.11. This frames the recent pullback as a valuation gap rather than a finished story.  The ongoing transformation to a brand-first strategy, with a focus on premiumization, tighter SKU assortments, and greater brand storytelling, positions Under Armour to increase average selling prices, improve full-price sell-through, and reduce reliance on discounting, which should positively impact net margins and long-term earnings growth.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of earnings power this reset is built on? The narrative leans on steadier revenue, higher margins, and a future profit multiple that has to be justified by execution. The key question is how those inputs combine to support a fair value that sits well above today’s price. Result: Fair Value of $7.73 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the fair value story still depends on execution. Margin pressure from tariffs and ongoing weakness in footwear leave plenty of room for disappointment. Find out about the key risks to this Under Armour narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Paint A Tougher Picture While the narrative-led fair value pins Under Armour at $7.73 per share, the SWS DCF model lands lower, with an estimate of $4.47 per share and UAA trading above that level at $5.11. That gap points to less margin of safety if cash flows do not match the more optimistic story. For a closer look at how this cash flow view is built, including the assumptions that pull fair value below the market price, Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. UAA Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Under Armour for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 47 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps If the mixed messages in the data leave you undecided, this is a good time to act promptly, review the numbers yourself, and weigh up the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas? Before moving on, consider giving yourself a broader watchlist by scanning other stocks that fit clear, focused criteria instead of staying locked on a single turnaround story.  Target potential mispricings by reviewing companies that screen as 47 high quality undervalued stocks based on quality, fundamentals, and current market pricing. Prioritize resilience and capital preservation by checking out 68 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on stability and downside protection. Look for under-followed opportunities by working through a screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems that still show solid fundamentals yet receive less attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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