Bitcoin Bull Market Confirmation Will Be Completed Once This Level Is Reclaimed, Analyst

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Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Bitcoin’s latest rebound has reached an important point on the 2-week chart, where analyst Crypflow...

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Ad Disclosure\n\nBitcoin’s latest rebound has reached an important point on the 2-week chart, where analyst Crypflow says the next bull market confirmation will begin to take shape.\nHis analysis focuses on the 21 WMA and 21 SMA ribbon, a moving-average structure that has repeatedly separated Bitcoin’s major bull and bear phases across past cycles. The Bitcoin price is slowly pushing back into this ribbon after the 2025 bear market confirmation, but the price is still being rejected at the 21 WMA around $81,974.\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBitcoin Is Pushing Into The Bull-Bear Ribbon Again\nTiming the start of a Bitcoin bull market is never straightforward. Every cycle comes with failed breakouts, sudden selloffs, and bear traps. However, a single crossover has reliably separated Bitcoin’s bull markets from its bear markets for over 10 years.\nRelated Reading: Analyst Says Don’t Buy Bitcoin Until This Happens\nThis crossover is known to occur on BTC’s 2-week candlestick chart, where the 21 WMA and 21 SMA have acted as a long-term divider between bull and bear market phases. Crypto analyst Crypflow described the signal as a simple crossover setup, where the 21 WMA moving above the 21 SMA confirms a bull market, and the 21 WMA moving below the 21 SMA confirms a bear market.\nSource: Chart from Crypflow on X\nThe first bearish crossover came after the 2013 cycle top, before the long correction into the 2015 bottom. The bullish flip that followed in 2015 then confirmed the start of a new expansion. A similar structure played out after the 2017 top, where the bearish crossover preceded the decline into the 2018 cycle bottom, followed by a bullish confirmation in 2019.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe same moving-average structure also gave a warning during the 2020 crash, before the bull market resumed when BTC reclaimed the ribbon. Again in the 2021 cycle, the bearish crossover came after the market top and remained part of the broader downtrend into the 2022 bottom. The next bullish flip in 2023 then marked the confirmation phase that supported Bitcoin’s climb into the 2025 cycle top.\nBTC Needs To Reclaim This Level\nBitcoin’s most recent signal, which was the bear market confirmation in 2025, came as Bitcoin rolled over from its most recent peak price above $126,000. That confirmation was the start of the current corrective phase.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nRelated Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Basis Remains High Within Biggest Supply Cluster\nNow, the important thing is that BTC is trying to push back above the bear market confirmation. The red band on the chart still shows bearish control, and the price action is currently sitting below the moving averages.\nThe level to watch on the 2-week candlestick chart is the 21 WMA. The indicator is shown around $81,974, while the 21 SMA is higher at about $90,415. Bitcoin’s latest candle is still below both, with the chart showing BTC near $77,980 at the time of the analysis. \nBTC recently pushed above the 21 WMA by touching $82,000 last week, but is now back to trading at $76,914 at the time of writing. This gap explains why the analyst said Bitcoin is pushing into the ribbon again but still getting rejected at the 21 WMA.\nBTC trading at $76,772 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com\nFeatured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com\n\n\n\nEditorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. 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