Is It Too Late To Consider Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) After Strong 1 Year Rally?

Simply Wall St.05-20 01:48

Some investors may be wondering whether Mineral Resources at around A$65.74 is still priced attractively, or if most of the easy gains are already behind it. The stock has been volatile, with a return...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2636886633?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2052000-choice2-main-header/1585186553865","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-05-20 01:48","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2636886633","market":"sg","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Is It Too Late To Consider Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) After Strong 1 Year Rally?","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>Some investors may be wondering whether Mineral Resources at around A$65.74 is still priced attractively, or if most of the easy gains are already behind it. The stock has been volatile, with a return...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-mineral-resources-asxmin-after-st\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) After Strong 1 Year Rally?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) After Strong 1 Year Rally?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-20 01:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-mineral-resources-asxmin-after-st><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Some investors may be wondering whether Mineral Resources at around A$65.74 is still priced attractively, or if most of the easy gains are already behind it. The stock has been volatile, with a return...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-mineral-resources-asxmin-after-st\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7095","symbol_name":"多种金属与采矿","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-mineral-resources-asxmin-after-st","article_id":"2636886633","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2052000-choice2-main-header/1585186553865"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-mineral-resources-asxmin-after-st","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2636886633","pubTimestamp":1779212894,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Some investors may be wondering whether Mineral Resources at around A$65.74 is still priced attractively, or if most of the easy gains are already behind it.\nThe stock has been volatile, with a return of 18.6% year to date, a 3.5% gain over the last 30 days, but a decline of 5.9% over the last week, while the 1 year return stands at 167.7%.\nRecent news coverage has focused on Mineral Resources in the context of lithium, iron ore and broader materials sector sentiment, which often shifts...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","MIN.AU":"MINERAL RESOURCES LTD","BK7504":"锂钴概念","BK7507":"资源股","MIN":"MFS Intermediate Income Trust"},"translate_title":"经过一年的强劲反弹后，现在考虑矿产资源(ASX：MIN)是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"MIN.AU":1.5,"MIN":1.5},"content_text":"Some investors may be wondering whether Mineral Resources at around A$65.74 is still priced attractively, or if most of the easy gains are already behind it. The stock has been volatile, with a return of 18.6% year to date, a 3.5% gain over the last 30 days, but a decline of 5.9% over the last week, while the 1 year return stands at 167.7%. Recent news coverage has focused on Mineral Resources in the context of lithium, iron ore and broader materials sector sentiment, which often shifts quickly as commodity expectations change. Investors have also been watching company updates on projects, contracts and capital spending plans that can influence how the market evaluates potential cash flows and risk. Right now, Mineral Resources has a valuation score of 2 out of 6. The next sections will break down what that means across different valuation methods, then return to a more practical way to think about what the stock might be worth.  Mineral Resources scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Mineral Resources Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting future cash flows and discounting them back to today using a required rate of return. It is essentially a way of asking what all those future A$ cash flows are worth in present terms. For Mineral Resources, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow was a loss of about A$1.68b, which means recent cash generation has been under pressure. Analysts then supply free cash flow estimates out to 2030, with A$1,265m projected in that year. Simply Wall St then extrapolates further out to 2035 using gradually moderating growth assumptions. When all these projected A$ cash flows are discounted back and added up, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about A$102.01 per share. Compared with the recent share price around A$65.74, this implies the stock is about 35.6% undervalued on this model. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Mineral Resources is undervalued by 35.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 10 more high quality undervalued stocks. MIN Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Mineral Resources. Approach 2: Mineral Resources Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of earnings. It links directly to how quickly earnings might grow and how much risk you are taking on, since investors usually accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger growth or see less uncertainty, and a lower P/E when they see more risk. Mineral Resources currently trades on a P/E of 32.29x. That sits above the Metals and Mining industry average of 13.02x and also above the peer group average of 27.05x. This suggests the stock is priced at a premium compared to both its wider sector and closer peers. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Mineral Resources is 16.86x. This is a proprietary estimate of what a P/E might look like given the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risks. Compared with simple peer or industry comparisons, the Fair Ratio gives a more tailored view because it adjusts for these company specific factors rather than assuming all miners deserve the same multiple. Since the current P/E of 32.29x is meaningfully above the Fair Ratio of 16.86x, the stock screens as expensive on this metric. Result: OVERVALUED ASX:MIN P/E Ratio as at May 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 4 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Mineral Resources Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives take the numbers you have seen so far and connect them to a clear story about where you think Mineral Resources is heading and what that might mean for fair value. A Narrative is simply your view of the company, turned into concrete assumptions for future revenue, earnings and margins, which then feed into a fair value estimate instead of leaving those numbers floating on their own. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are an easy tool used by millions of investors to do three things in one place: link a company story to a forecast, turn that forecast into a fair value, and then compare that fair value with the current share price to help decide whether the stock looks attractive, fully priced or expensive for their own criteria. Because Narratives refresh as new information comes in, for example news on Onslow Iron or updated analyst earnings estimates, your fair value view on Mineral Resources can adjust automatically rather than staying fixed on out of date assumptions. For Mineral Resources right now, one investor might align with a cautious Narrative around an A$32.52 fair value that reflects flat revenue and tighter margins. Another might choose a more optimistic Narrative closer to A$75.00 that leans on faster revenue growth and higher long term profitability. The Simply Wall St platform lets you compare and sense check both against the current share price. For Mineral Resources however we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Mineral Resources Narratives: 🐂 Mineral Resources Bull Case Fair value in this bullish Narrative: A$75.00 per share. At the last close of A$65.74, this Narrative implies the stock is about 12.4% below its A$75.00 fair value. Revenue growth assumption: 20.45% per year.  Assumes strong long term demand for lithium and iron ore, helped by electrification trends and the ability to execute large integrated projects efficiently. Sees margins and earnings improving sharply as Onslow Iron ramps up and lithium operations recover, underpinned by long tenure Mining Services contracts. Accepts meaningful risks around commodity prices, high capital spending, project execution and regulation, but views them as manageable relative to the upside in cash flows and earnings.  🐻 Mineral Resources Bear Case Fair value in this more cautious Narrative: A$60.29 per share. At the last close of A$65.74, this Narrative implies the stock is about 9.1% above its A$60.29 fair value. Revenue growth assumption: 5.49% per year.  Assumes steady but more moderate growth from iron ore and lithium, supported by long life assets, infrastructure investment and diversified Mining Services contracts. Highlights higher financial and operational risk from heavy capital expenditure, exposure to volatile commodity prices and the need to keep repairing the balance sheet. Concludes that, on these more balanced earnings and margin assumptions, Mineral Resources is close to fairly priced, so future returns depend heavily on execution and commodity pricing.  If you want to move from previews to a fully worked story with your own assumptions, the easiest next step is to read the full bullish and cautious Narratives, then tweak the inputs until the fair value lines up with what you believe is realistic for Mineral Resources, its projects and its risk profile. To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Mineral Resources on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. Do you think there's more to the story for Mineral Resources? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! ASX:MIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.2","shortVersion":"4.42.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2636886633","isCrawlerRequest":true}