Is Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Now Offering Value After A 64% One Year Share Price Fall

Simply Wall St.05-27 11:12

Wondering if Goosehead Insurance at around US$40 still has more downside risk than upside potential, or if the recent weakness is starting to create value? The stock has been under pressure, with the ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2638057575?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/7211000-choice2-main-header/1585187169399","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-05-27 11:12","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2638057575","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Is Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Now Offering Value After A 64% One Year Share Price Fall","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>Wondering if Goosehead Insurance at around US$40 still has more downside risk than upside potential, or if the recent weakness is starting to create value? The stock has been under pressure, with the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nasdaq-gshd/goosehead-insurance/news/is-goosehead-insurance-gshd-now-offering-value-after-a-64-on\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Now Offering Value After A 64% One Year Share Price Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Now Offering Value After A 64% One Year Share Price Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-27 11:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nasdaq-gshd/goosehead-insurance/news/is-goosehead-insurance-gshd-now-offering-value-after-a-64-on><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering if Goosehead Insurance at around US$40 still has more downside risk than upside potential, or if the recent weakness is starting to create value? The stock has been under pressure, with the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nasdaq-gshd/goosehead-insurance/news/is-goosehead-insurance-gshd-now-offering-value-after-a-64-on\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DCF","symbol_name":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nasdaq-gshd/goosehead-insurance/news/is-goosehead-insurance-gshd-now-offering-value-after-a-64-on","article_id":"2638057575","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/7211000-choice2-main-header/1585187169399"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/insurance/nasdaq-gshd/goosehead-insurance/news/is-goosehead-insurance-gshd-now-offering-value-after-a-64-on","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2638057575","pubTimestamp":1779851520,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering if Goosehead Insurance at around US$40 still has more downside risk than upside potential, or if the recent weakness is starting to create value?\nThe stock has been under pressure, with the share price down 3.2% over the past week, 17.1% over the past month and 63.8% over the past year.\nRecent coverage has focused on the stock’s extended share price weakness and what this means for investors who bought at higher levels, along with renewed interest from investors who are starting to...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4173":"保险经纪商","GSHD":"Goosehead Insurance"},"translate_title":"Goosehead Insurance(GSHD)股价一年下跌64%后现在是否有价值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"GSHD":1.5},"content_text":"Wondering if Goosehead Insurance at around US$40 still has more downside risk than upside potential, or if the recent weakness is starting to create value? The stock has been under pressure, with the share price down 3.2% over the past week, 17.1% over the past month and 63.8% over the past year. Recent coverage has focused on the stock’s extended share price weakness and what this means for investors who bought at higher levels, along with renewed interest from investors who are starting to reassess the risk and reward trade off at a lower price. Commentary has also highlighted that the company’s long term share price record, including 3 year and 5 year returns, has been negative and is an important part of the current discussion around value. Simply Wall St’s valuation model currently gives Goosehead Insurance a value score of 2 out of 6. This article will compare different valuation approaches and then finish with a framework that can help you interpret those numbers in a more complete way.  Goosehead Insurance scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Goosehead Insurance Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of a company’s future cash flows and discounts them back to today using a required rate of return, to arrive at an estimate of what the stock could be worth right now. For Goosehead Insurance, Simply Wall St applies a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model using free cash flow in $ as the starting point. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $75.70 million. Analysts provide explicit forecasts for the next few years, and Simply Wall St then extrapolates further, which leads to a projected free cash flow of about $116.92 million in 2035 based on the supplied ten year path. On this basis, the model estimates an intrinsic value of about $66.13 per share. Compared with the current share price of around $40, the implied discount of 39.5% indicates that the stock appears undervalued according to this DCF view. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Goosehead Insurance is undervalued by 39.5%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 46 more high quality undervalued stocks. GSHD Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Goosehead Insurance. Approach 2: Goosehead Insurance Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. Higher growth expectations and lower perceived risk usually justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk tend to pull a fair P/E lower. Goosehead Insurance currently trades on a P/E of 31.17x. That is above both the Insurance industry average of 11.29x and the peer group average of 26.15x, so on simple comparisons the stock looks expensive. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio metric estimates what a more tailored P/E might look like for Goosehead Insurance, at 17.41x. This Fair Ratio is based on factors such as earnings growth, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risk characteristics, which makes it more nuanced than just lining the stock up against broad industry or peer averages. Comparing the current P/E of 31.17x with the Fair Ratio of 17.41x suggests Goosehead Insurance is trading above the level that would typically be implied by those fundamentals, so on this measure the stock screens as overvalued. Result: OVERVALUED NasdaqGS:GSHD P/E Ratio as at May 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Goosehead Insurance Narrative Earlier the article mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so this is where Narratives come in, giving you a simple story behind the numbers by linking your view on Goosehead Insurance’s revenue, earnings and margins to a specific fair value and then comparing that to today’s price. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are an easy tool that millions of investors use to set out their own story for a company, connect that story to a forecast, and see the implied fair value update automatically when fresh information such as news, buyback activity or earnings guidance is added. For Goosehead Insurance, one investor might align with the more optimistic view that supports a Fair Value around US$98.13, based on assumptions like revenue growth of 21.88%, a profit margin of 8.82% and a future P/E of 37.53x. Another investor might lean toward the more cautious end with Fair Value closer to US$52.10, using different assumptions such as 18.23% revenue growth, a 12.00% margin and a future P/E of 38.47x. These two Narratives lead to very different conclusions when each fair value is compared with the current share price. Do you think there's more to the story for Goosehead Insurance? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:GSHD 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.2","shortVersion":"4.42.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2638057575","isCrawlerRequest":true}