Assessing ConocoPhillips (COP) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback And LNG Growth Plans

Simply Wall St.05-28

AdvertisementWhy ConocoPhillips (COP) is on investors’ radar today ConocoPhillips (COP) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock down 5.9% over the past week and 5.4% ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2638605654?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/296527-main-header/1756218147399","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-05-28 12:37","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2638605654","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Assessing ConocoPhillips (COP) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback And LNG Growth Plans","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>AdvertisementWhy ConocoPhillips (COP) is on investors’ radar today ConocoPhillips (COP) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock down 5.9% over the past week and 5.4% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cop/conocophillips/news/assessing-conocophillips-cop-valuation-after-recent-share-pr-2\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Assessing ConocoPhillips (COP) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback And LNG Growth Plans</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing ConocoPhillips (COP) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback And LNG Growth Plans\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-28 12:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cop/conocophillips/news/assessing-conocophillips-cop-valuation-after-recent-share-pr-2><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AdvertisementWhy ConocoPhillips (COP) is on investors’ radar today ConocoPhillips (COP) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock down 5.9% over the past week and 5.4% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cop/conocophillips/news/assessing-conocophillips-cop-valuation-after-recent-share-pr-2\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FTXN","symbol_name":"First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cop/conocophillips/news/assessing-conocophillips-cop-valuation-after-recent-share-pr-2","article_id":"2638605654","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/296527-main-header/1756218147399"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/energy/nyse-cop/conocophillips/news/assessing-conocophillips-cop-valuation-after-recent-share-pr-2","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2638605654","pubTimestamp":1779943038,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Why ConocoPhillips (COP) is on investors’ radar today\nConocoPhillips (COP) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock down 5.9% over the past week and 5.4% over the past month, while still up 4% over the past 3 months.\nFor investors tracking large US energy producers, those mixed returns sit alongside revenue of US$59,378 million and net income of US$7,298 million. This combination is prompting fresh interest in how the company’s global oil and gas portfolio is...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"FTXN":"First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF","LU2125154778.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","USE":"USCF Energy Commodity Strategy Absolute Return Fund","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","WTIU":"MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETN","DRIP":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X Shares","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","GUSH":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil &Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares","LU0456854461.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Natural Resources A (acc) SGD","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","LU0314106906.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0122376428.USD":"贝莱德世界能源基金A2","LU0345781412.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","LU0143551892.USD":"T ROWE PRICE GLOBAL FOCUSED GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","SG9999002521.SGD":"United Global Resources A Acc SGD","DRLL":"Strive U.S. Energy ETF","PXJ":"Invesco Oil & Gas Services ETF","DIG":"二倍做多美国油气指数","LU0630314457.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","COP":"康菲石油","LU2462591277.SGD":"TRP GLOBAL FOCUSED GROWTH EQUITY \"AN\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","LU0368265418.SGD":"Blackrock World Energy Fund A2 SGD-H","PXE":"Invesco Energy Exploration & Production ETF","LU0266512127.USD":"摩根大通环球自然资源 A(acc)","IXC":"全球能源业ETF-iShares","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","BK4213":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","LU1506573853.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (SGD) INC","LU1267930813.SGD":"FRANKLIN TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY \"AS\" (SGD) ACC","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","ERX":"二倍做多能源ETF-Direxion","LU0957791311.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","DBC":"商品指数ETF-PowerShares DB","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","XES":"SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF","IEO":"iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas","VDE":"Vanguard Energy ETF","DBE":"能源商品ETF-PowerShares"},"translate_title":"在近期股价回调和液化天然气增长计划后评估康菲石油公司(COP)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DRIP":0.6,"IXC":0.6,"COP":1.5,"DBC":0.7,"DBE":0.6,"FTXN":0.6,"DIG":0.6,"XES":0.6,"ERX":0.7,"IEO":0.6,"USE":0.6,"PXE":0.6,"VDE":0.7,"GUSH":0.6,"WTIU":0.6,"DRLL":0.6,"PXJ":0.6},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy ConocoPhillips (COP) is on investors’ radar today ConocoPhillips (COP) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock down 5.9% over the past week and 5.4% over the past month, while still up 4% over the past 3 months. For investors tracking large US energy producers, those mixed returns sit alongside revenue of US$59,378 million and net income of US$7,298 million. This combination is prompting fresh interest in how the company’s global oil and gas portfolio is currently being valued. See our latest analysis for ConocoPhillips. The recent pullback, with the 7 day share price return down 5.9% and the 30 day share price return down 5.4%, contrasts with a stronger year to date share price return of 19.1% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 40.6%. This suggests longer term momentum has remained firm even as near term sentiment has cooled around the current US$115.13 share price. If the latest moves in ConocoPhillips have you reassessing your energy exposure, it can be useful to also scan other commodity producers and related plays using the 33 elite gold producer stocks With ConocoPhillips trading at US$115.13, sitting on a 40.6% 1 year total return and a sizeable discount to some analyst targets and intrinsic estimates, is the recent weakness a fresh buying window, or has the market already priced in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 18.1% Undervalued With ConocoPhillips last closing at $115.13 against a narrative fair value of $140.59, attention is squarely on what is driving that gap.  The company's expanding LNG portfolio and progress on large-scale liquefaction projects (notably in Qatar, Port Arthur, and Willow) are set to capture significant market share from robust global gas demand, especially as natural gas solidifies its role as a \"transition fuel\"; these projects are expected to drive a substantial free cash flow inflection and topline revenue expansion through 2029.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what sits behind that cash flow inflection story? The narrative leans on steady top line expansion, rising margins, and a richer future earnings multiple. It builds a detailed path from project start up to higher projected profits and then discounts those cash flows using a specific required return. The tension between that blueprint and today’s price is where the opportunity or risk may lie. Result: Fair Value of $140.59 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on major projects staying on schedule and oil and gas prices holding up. Cost overruns or weaker commodity markets could quickly challenge that picture. Find out about the key risks to this ConocoPhillips narrative. Another way to look at COP’s valuation The SWS DCF model paints a very different picture to the narrative fair value. On this view, ConocoPhillips at $115.13 is trading well below an estimated future cash flow value of $373.21, which points to a very wide gap between current price and modelled cash generation. The question for you is whether those long term cash flow assumptions feel realistic or too optimistic. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. COP Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026Next Steps With mixed signals around value and sentiment, it may be helpful to move quickly, check the numbers for yourself, and weigh both sides of the story using the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas? If ConocoPhillips has your attention, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist and uncover fresh opportunities with a quick pass through some targeted stock screens.  Target potential bargains by zeroing in on companies that combine quality with appealing valuations using the 46 high quality undervalued stocks Secure your income focus by scanning for companies offering strong yields and resilient payouts via the 9 dividend fortresses Protect your downside by concentrating on companies with more resilient risk profiles using the 64 resilient stocks with low risk scores   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.0","shortVersion":"4.44.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2638605654","isCrawlerRequest":true}