Assessing StoneCo (NasdaqGS:STNE) Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.05-30

AdvertisementStoneCo stock performance snapshot StoneCo (NasdaqGS:STNE) has been drawing attention after a mixed stretch for the stock, with the price near $11.33 and returns down over the past month ...

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At the same time, the 1 year total shareholder return is positive...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0572108347.SGD":"Blackrock Latin American A2 SGD-H","STNE":"StoneCo","LU0788109048.HKD":"BGF LATIN AMERICAN \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4227":"交易和支付处理服务","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU0072463663.USD":"Blackrock Latin American A2 USD","BK4566":"资本集团"},"translate_title":"在近期股价疲软后评估StoneCo（纳斯达克GS：STNE）的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"STNE":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementStoneCo stock performance snapshot StoneCo (NasdaqGS:STNE) has been drawing attention after a mixed stretch for the stock, with the price near $11.33 and returns down over the past month and past 3 months but positive over the past year. See our latest analysis for StoneCo. The share price has been under pressure in recent months, with a 90 day share price return down 32.56% and the year to date share price return down 22.87%. At the same time, the 1 year total shareholder return is positive at 2.35%, suggesting longer term holders have seen a different experience compared with recent short term momentum. If you are weighing StoneCo against other potential opportunities in financial technology and beyond, it can be useful to see what else the market is offering in companies with founder level drive and ownership influence. This could be a good moment to broaden your search with the 21 top founder-led companies With the stock down sharply over 90 days yet trading at a reported discount to some valuation estimates, is StoneCo a mispriced fintech opportunity right now, or is the market already factoring in its future growth potential? Most Popular Narrative: 44.2% Undervalued StoneCo's most followed valuation narrative puts fair value at $20.29 versus the last close at $11.33, framing the stock as trading well below that estimate while hinging heavily on how capital is recycled back into the business and to shareholders.  Focused divestment of capital-intensive software assets has freed up substantial capital (about 25% of market capitalization), enabling StoneCo to redeploy resources to higher-growth, higher-margin financial services and to return excess capital via share buybacks, positively impacting EPS and net margins.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what earnings profile supports that fair value gap, and how much relies on margin expansion versus revenue growth or future buybacks? The narrative lays out a detailed path, including assumed profitability, valuation multiples and required returns that you may want to compare with your own expectations. Result: Fair Value of $20.29 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on Brazil continuing to support small merchants and on credit risks not rising to a level where higher loss provisions reduce margins. Find out about the key risks to this StoneCo narrative. Next Steps With sentiment clearly split between risks and upside potential, this is a good time to look through the numbers yourself and decide where you stand on StoneCo. To balance both sides of the story and pressure test your view against the data, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas? Once you have formed a view on StoneCo, do not stop there. Widening your watchlist can help you spot opportunities you might otherwise miss.  Target potential value opportunities by scanning 46 high quality undervalued stocks that combine quality fundamentals with appealing pricing. Prioritise resilience by reviewing 64 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on financial strength and stability. Get ahead of the crowd by checking the screener containing 22 high quality undiscovered gems that the wider market may not be focusing on yet.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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