Onto Innovation's (ONTO) recent 15% pullback, largely driven by convertible-related hedging, created an attractive entry point based on increased confidence in the company's fundamental upside, Oppenheimer said in a note Monday.
In a recent management meeting, the tone was positive and confident against high buy-side expectations as management reiterated its expectation to outgrow the wafer fabrication equipment market in 2027 and remained upbeat on Dragonfly G5 AI platform growth, particularly in 2027, according to the note.
The Rigaku deal and convertible notes offering are expected to mostly offset each other's impact on 2026 earnings per share, but the deal has strong long-term strategic and financial benefits, Oppenheimer said.
The brokerage also highlighted that Atlas G6 is gaining GAA/DRAM/TSV traction, 3Di benefits from shrinking bumps, JetStep/Firefly panel packaging ramps at two AI suppliers, Rigaku adds longer-term X-ray/optical hybrid metrology upside, and Dragonfly G5 2.5D logic qualification removes Onto's largest valuation overhang.
Oppenheimer kept an outperform rating on Onto Innovation with a price target of $370.
Shares of Onto Innovation were down more than 2% in Monday trading.
Price: 251.48, Change: -6.76, Percent Change: -2.62
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