If You’re Waiting For The Bitcoin Bottom, This Pundit Says You Should Be Looking At This Quarter

Bitcoinist06-05 07:00

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Bitcoin is steadily pushing towards $60,000 and is trading close to its February 6 wick bottom. The...

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Ad Disclosure\n\nBitcoin is steadily pushing towards $60,000 and is trading close to its February 6 wick bottom. The...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://bitcoinist.com/awaiting-the-bitcoin-bottom/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BTRN","symbol_name":"比特币期货ETF-Global X","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://bitcoinist.com/awaiting-the-bitcoin-bottom/","article_id":"2641199936","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Bitcoin-from-Pixabay-50.jpg?resize=350%2C250"],"rights":{"source":"bitcoinist_highlight","url":"https://bitcoinist.com/awaiting-the-bitcoin-bottom/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2641199936","pubTimestamp":1780614009,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"bitcoinist_highlight","name":"Bitcoinst"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Bitcoin is steadily pushing towards $60,000 and is trading close to its February 6 wick bottom. 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Ad Disclosure\n\nBitcoin is steadily pushing towards $60,000 and is trading close to its February 6 wick bottom. The crypto market sentiment is now back in extreme fear, and there have been multiple questions on when Bitcoin will eventually register a correction bottom. \nCrypto pundit Ardi believes the answer may be found less in the current candle and more in the calendar, especially since we are still in the second quarter of the year, while past bear market lows have usually arrived much later in the year.\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBitcoin’s Bottom History Has A Favourite Season\nCrypto pundit Ardi, posting on X alongside a weekly Bitcoin chart that encompasses over a decade of price history, laid out a pattern that has held without exception across every prior market cycle. \nRelated Reading: Bitcoin Is Still Following This Descending Channel Pattern And The Endgame Shows The Bottom\nAccording to the pundit, Bitcoin has always bottomed in the fourth quarter during its bear market years, and that makes the current price action more difficult for bulls to defend from registering another bottom. The point is that the year is still in the second quarter, meaning Bitcoin would need to hold above the $60,000 region for another six months to break from the historical pattern.\nSource: Chart from Ardi on X\nThe Bitcoin weekly candlestick chart below captures this trend very clearly. Bitcoin’s 2013 cycle correction lasted 413 days before bottoming in November 2014, the 2017 bear cycle correction lasted 378 days before the December 2018 low, and the 2021 cycle bear market lasted 364 days before BTC bottomed in November 2022. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe current correction is at 245 days from the October 2025 high of $126,000, leaving room for more time if the market continues to mirror previous bear-market structures.\nConsensus On Q4 2026\nArdi is not the only market watcher pointing to late 2026 as the more likely period for a cycle bottom. Popular crypto analyst and founder of Into the Cryptoverse, Benjamin Cowen, also noted that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is still in play, given that the current cycle top in October 2025 arrived within one week of when it historically does. His base case for the current cycle low is October 2026.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nRelated Reading: Bitcoin Gets Stuck Between Two Giants As Price Fumbles, Which Will Prevail?\nOther analysts have reached similar conclusions through different methodologies. Ali Martinez pins October 2026 as the likely bottom based on the average duration of prior bear markets. Xanrox places the bottom in September or October, with recovery expected to begin in November or December. \nCryptoQuant points to October through December, coinciding with what would be a sub-zero MVRV Z-Score, while technical signals, including the Bitcoin Repetition Fractal Cycle, are also pointing to October 2026 as the month everything will change.\nAt the time of writing, BTC is trading at $62,950 after a 6.2% decline over the past 24 hours. The drop has pushed BTC to its lowest level in four months, leaving the cryptocurrency at risk of losing the $60,000 support as outflows from Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to weigh on market sentiment.\nBTC trading at $62,570 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com\nFeatured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com\n\n\n\nEditorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.43.1","shortVersion":"4.43.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2641199936","isCrawlerRequest":true}