BNP Paribas Changes Fed Call, Expects Rate Hikes Starting in December -- Market Talk

Dow Jones17:35

0935 GMT - BNP Paribas changes its call for the Federal Reserve's rate path. "We now expect the Fed to reverse 2025's three 'insurance' rate cuts at sequential meetings, beginning in December," its analysts say in a note. "The aim will be to reduce the level of monetary stimulus, contain inflation expectations and stabilize the unemployment rate at a low level, in our view." Since January, BNP Paribas analysts have seen the Fed as likely on hold this year, but Friday's solid payrolls tilts the scales. "We now expect the Fed's next policy move to be a rate hike, aimed at withdrawing the monetary stimulus provided by last year's three 'insurance' cuts," they say. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

 

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June 08, 2026 05:35 ET (09:35 GMT)

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