Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Likely Rose Last Month -- WSJ

Dow Jones01:02

By Matt Grossman

Wednesday's consumer-price data showed some cooling in underlying inflation trends. But the numbers are unlikely to provide much reassurance to Federal Reserve officials who have grown concerned about accelerating inflation.

The Fed tracks inflation using a different gauge, the price index of personal-consumption expenditures. Its May figures won't be available until later this month. But the formula uses data from the inflation reports published this week, so economists can forecast the results with great accuracy.

After today's wholesale-inflation figures, many economists now think that the core PCE inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices, rose to 3.4% last month, from 3.3% in April. That would be the highest rate since late 2023. If that forecast is borne out by the official release, it may be all the more difficult for Fed officials to argue that inflation is on track to abate.

This item is part of a Wall Street Journal live coverage event. The full stream can be found by searching P/WSJL (WSJ Live Coverage).

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June 11, 2026 13:02 ET (17:02 GMT)

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