The Verdict Is In For Bitcoin: Majority Of Investors Say BTC Price Is Headed Lower, Here Are The Numbers

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Ad Disclosure\n\nAcross prediction markets, on-chain dashboards, and sentiment trackers, a clear majority of Bitcoin...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://bitcoinist.com/the-verdict-is-in-for-bitcoin/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BITU","symbol_name":"2倍做多比特币期货ETF-Proshares","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://bitcoinist.com/the-verdict-is-in-for-bitcoin/","article_id":"2642721734","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Bitcoin-from-Pngtree-36.jpg?resize=350%2C250"],"rights":{"source":"bitcoinist_highlight","url":"https://bitcoinist.com/the-verdict-is-in-for-bitcoin/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2642721734","pubTimestamp":1781125232,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"bitcoinist_highlight","name":"Bitcoinst"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Across prediction markets, on-chain dashboards, and sentiment trackers, a clear majority of Bitcoin investors have positioned themselves for further downside. ...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"bitcoinist.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BITU":"2倍做多比特币期货ETF-Proshares","BCCC":"Global X Bitcoin Covered Call ETF","BTRN":"比特币期货ETF-Global X","CBXO":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","MAXI":"比特币期货ETF-Simplify","BITX":"2倍比特币期货ETF-Volatility Shares","CBXY":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","BAGY":"Amplify Bitcoin Max Income Covered Call ETF","BTCW":"比特币ETF-Wisdom Tree","CBOA":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - April","BITY":"Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF","BITB":"比特币ETF-Bitwise","ARKB":"比特币ETF-21Shares","CBOJ":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","BETE":"等权重比特币&以太币期货ETF-ProShares","DFII":"FT Cboe Vest Bitcoin Strategy & Target Income ETF","CBTA":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF – April","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","XBTY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF","BETH":"比特币&以太币期货ETF-ProShares","CBTJ":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","BTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust","DEFI":"比特币期货ETF-Hashdex","IBIT":"比特币ETF-iShares","BTCO":"比特币ETF-Invesco Galaxy","BITI":"1倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","BTCC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Covered Call ETF","MNRS":"GRAYSCALE BITCOIN MINERS ETF","BTF":"比特币&以太币期货ETF-CoinShares","YBTC":"比特币看涨期权ETF-Roundhill","CBOO":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","BTCI":"NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF","CBTO":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","QBF":"Innovator Uncapped Bitcoin 20 Floor ETF - Quarterly","BTFX":"比特币期货ETF-CoinShares","BITO":"比特币期货ETF-ProShares","BRRR":"比特币ETF-CoinShares","EZBC":"比特币ETF-Franklin","FBTC":"比特币ETF-Fidelity","BPI":"Grayscale Bitcoin Premium Income ETF","CBTY":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","BTCL":"T-REX 2X LONG BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF","CBXA":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF – April","BFAP":"FT Vest Bitcoin Strategy Floor15 ETF - April","CBOY":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","SBIT":"2倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","CBXJ":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","HODL":"比特币ETF-VanEck"},"translate_title":"比特币的判决已经出来：大多数投资者表示BTC价格正在走低，以下是数据","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CBTJ":0.6,"MAXI":0.6,"IBIT":0.6,"BTCC":0.6,"CBOA":0.6,"BETE":0.6,"DFII":0.6,"BITO":0.6,"BTCO":0.6,"BTCI":0.6,"EZBC":0.6,"FBTC":0.6,"BITI":0.6,"BITX":0.6,"BTCL":0.6,"CBTA":0.6,"CBXJ":0.6,"BETH":0.6,"BITY":0.6,"BTF":0.6,"CBTO":0.6,"BRRR":0.6,"BITB":0.6,"ARKB":0.6,"BITU":0.6,"CBXY":0.6,"CBOJ":0.6,"QBF":0.6,"BTRN":0.6,"BTC":0.6,"BAGY":0.6,"BPI":0.6,"CBTY":0.6,"CBXO":0.6,"CBOY":0.6,"XBTY":0.6,"YBTC":0.6,"CBOO":0.6,"DEFI":0.6,"CBXA":0.6,"BCCC":0.6,"BTCW":0.6,"GBTC":0.6,"SBIT":0.6,"BFAP":0.6,"BTFX":0.6,"HODL":0.6,"MNRS":0.6},"content_text":"Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure\n\nAcross prediction markets, on-chain dashboards, and sentiment trackers, a clear majority of Bitcoin investors have positioned themselves for further downside. \nAlthough Bitcoin has since recovered above $60,000, the recent crash below the level over the weekend has led many crypto traders to believe that there’s going to be another crash to the final bottom. According to crypto analyst Winter Soldier, 64% of orders on prediction markets are now betting on BTC dropping below $50,000 this year. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n64% Of Orders Are Betting Bitcoin Breaks Below $50,000\nPrediction market Polymarket is currently pricing a 64% probability that Bitcoin hits $55,000 or lower before the end of 2026. This outlook was also noted in a bearish call by crypto analyst Winter Soldier, who noted that 65% of orders on prediction markets are now positioned for BTC to fall below $50,000 before the end of the year. \nRelated Reading: How To Avoid The Major Trap That Bitcoin Is Setting Up For Traders\nHowever, the analyst also compared the current setup with the previous cycle, when many traders believed $28,000 would hold as the final low. Bitcoin later fell to $19,000, then to $15,000, before the market finally reached the level of fear needed for a true reversal. That is why the analyst believes a crash to the $35,000 to $38,000 range from the current price action cannot be ruled out. \nBitcoin dropped about 78% in the last bear cycle before beginning its next major expansion. This cycle could be shallower because of ETFs and institutional participation, but still, $50,000 should not be assumed automatically as the floor simply because everyone is watching it.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe Chart Says BTC Is Cheap, But Not Safe Yet\nThe rainbow chart added to the analysis by Winter Soldier shows Bitcoin now sitting in the “BUY!” band, and the price has spent 24 days in that band compared to an average of 18 days. That makes Bitcoin look discounted relative to its long-term logarithmic trend. \nRelated Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Crash Ended Or Is This Just The Beginning? Analyst Answers\nThe chart also shows only a 5.5% drop to the lower band and a 27.2% move to the upper band, which is another sign that BTC is closer to the lower end of the historical value range than the upper end.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSource: Chart from Winter Soldier on X\nHowever, the problem for bulls is that the price structure has not yet confirmed a reversal. Bitcoin has printed heavy red candles, lower highs, and lower lows, and sell volume has continued into the middle of the week. Everywhere you look, there’s supply and no demand. If the Bitcoin price bounces back into the range between $65,000 and $66,000, it’s most likely just gathering momentum to push lower, and this is a bull trap, not a buy signal. \nThe verdict is part of many predictions from a bearish camp that Bitcoin may still have one more painful leg to $50,000 before a durable bottom is formed. Interestingly, some analysts are calling for a further bottom below $50,000.\nBTC trading at $60,965 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com\n\nFeatured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com\n\n\n\nEditorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.43.1","shortVersion":"4.43.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2642721734","isCrawlerRequest":true}