Fed Chair Kevin Warsh steps into market spotlight with debut interest rate decision

cityam06-17 20:17

Fed cuts are off the table for the rest of this year according to market pricing City investors and their counterparts across global markets will be tuning in to the Federal Reserve tonight for their ...

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The policymakers have faced intense political pressure from President Donald Trump for interest rate cuts, especially from Wa","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"cityam.com","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","BSV":"短期国债指数ETF-Vanguard","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","SHV":"美国短期国债ETF-iShares","MINT":"PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Exchange-Traded Fund","TBT":"债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","TYO":"3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion","NGHT":"Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","PBDC":"Putnam Bdc Income ETF","BOND":"Pimco Total Return ETF","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","DBND":"DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF","UDN":"做空美元指数-PowerShares","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","GOLY":"Strategy Shares Gold Enhanced Yield ETF","USHY":"iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","JPST":"JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF"},"translate_title":"美联储主席凯文·沃什首次做出利率决定，成为市场焦点","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MUB":1.5,"SHV":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"UUP":1.5,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"BND":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"PBDC":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"BOND":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"GOLY":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"SKRE":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"BSV":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"JPST":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"TLTW":1.5},"content_text":"Fed cuts are off the table for the rest of this year according to market pricing City investors and their counterparts across global markets will be tuning in to the Federal Reserve tonight for their first full look at its new chair in action, as the world’s most influential central banker completes his first meeting setting interest rates for the United States.Kevin Warsh is the second Trump appointee at the helm of the Fed. His debut comes at a turbulent time, and according to market pricing of the decision, it could anger US President Trump, who has been demanding cuts.The decision of the Federal Open Market Committee on the base cost of borrowing for the world’s biggest economy is due at 7 p.m. London time.At a press conference scheduled for half an hour later, Warsh will discuss the decision made by the FOMC and its 12 voting members.\n\nThere is much at stake. The policymakers have faced intense political pressure from President Donald Trump for interest rate cuts, especially from Warsh’s predecessor, Jerome Powell. \n\n\n\n\n\n\nNews Updates\nStay ahead with our three daily briefings delivering all the key market moves, top business and political stories, and incisive analysis straight to your inbox.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIt has tested one of the Fed’s cornerstone principles: operational independence from day-to-day political forces.Iran war inflation shockWednesday’s action comes just as an inflation shock from higher energy prices in the wake of the war in the Middle East creates the kind of conditions in which rate hikes prove necessary.The tenor of FOMC’s discussion, alongside the decision it makes tonight at such a turbulent time, will do much to set the tone for investor sentiment. \n\nExperts in the City and on Wall Street expect the FOMC to leave its key Federal Funds rate on hold. The benchmark is set in a range, currently between 3.50 per cent and 3.75 per cent. It typically moves by a quarter-point.Attention will focus on insight into policymakers’ thinking on the next action, especially from Warsh himself.Whenever the chair changes, the scrutiny of the meeting intensifies. Not least over the way policymakers signal their intention on rates, via what is known as forward guidance, and wrapped into the FOMC’s minutes and the public statements and comments of its members.In this respect, Warsh is seen as likely to take a different tack from his predecessors, including Powell, who signalled their future intentions alongside current announcements.\n\nJim Reid, Deutsche Bank’s global head of macro research and one of the best-known voices in the City, said: “Based on prior comments, our US economists think Warsh is likely to avoid forward guidance and an overreliance on short-term data trends. “And they also see him tacking towards the centre of the committee, so not arguing for near-term rate cuts, but not taking rate hikes off the table either.”Nonetheless, with Warsh making his debut, Reid argues that Wednesday’s meeting “could still be an eventful one, even without a change in rates”, adding: “A new chair often leads to higher volatility at first, because the market is trying to work out their communication style and reaction function.”\nThe Fed has a dual mandate. It is expected to foster both maximum employment and stable prices, meaning it must both contain inflation and stimulate job creation.\n\nTrump has called loudly and aggressively for rate cuts, issuing excoriating public criticism of Powell for not backing them. After such hardline rhetoric from the White House, Warsh will be under an even brighter spotlight, whatever his reputation for leaning away from forward guidance.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"express","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.0","shortVersion":"4.44.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2644450637","isCrawlerRequest":true}