2 Trillion-Dollar Stocks Define This Rally -- SpaceX Isn't One of Them. -- Barrons.com

Dow Jones06-17 18:32

Chip stocks suffered a wobble, and investors had better hope that's all it is.

Insatiable demand for all things semiconductor and artificial intelligence is underpinning this stock market rally. The PHLX Semiconductor Index dropped around 6% Tuesday, and the S&P 500 had a bad day as a result -- the opposite was happening early Wednesday.

While SpaceX's abrupt entry into the highest echelon of U.S. companies is grabbing the headlines, the emergence of two other stocks in the top 10 most valuable list tells the real story of this market.

Broadcom and Micron have both joined the trillion-dollar club in recent months, while Advanced Micro Devices -- up 20% in the past month -- isn't far off. Other chip stocks up double digits in the past month include Lam Research, Applied Materials, Sandisk, and Western Digital.

But Micron and SpaceX aside, the biggest names are struggling. Broadcom is down 11% over the past month, while Nvidia, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon are all down between 6% and 8%.

SpaceX is a law unto itself at this point, rising irrespective of whether the broader technology sector is having a good day. And Micron is getting a seemingly relentless boost from the memory-chip shortage.

Glass-half-full investors will say that if the Magnificent Seven can join the party then the rally can keep going. But if the chip-stock momentum runs out of steam it could be a big problem for the stock market.

-- Callum Keown

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What to Watch at Warsh's First Post-Decision Press Conference

The Federal Reserve will conclude its two-day policy meeting later today, and the least interesting aspect will be its decision on interest rates. Instead, all eyes and ears will be on Chairman Kevin Warsh as he takes the stage at his first post-meeting news conference.

   -- While President Donald Trump has indicated he prefers his Fed pick to 
      lower rates, higher inflation and stable employment conditions are far 
      more likely to argue for keeping rates steady, at least for now. Warsh 
      comes to the Fed armed with a self-proclaimed reform agenda. 
 
   -- Many expect some of his biggest ambitions regarding change to take time 
      to implement. Still, the news conference is expected to provide investors 
      and Fed watchers with a better sense of his priorities. The biggest 
      change could target forward guidance. 
 
   -- The Fed is expected to drop the previous language in the policy statement 
      that suggested the next action would likely be a rate cut. Cleveland Fed 
      President Beth Hammack, Dallas Fed President Lori Logan, and Minnesota 
      Fed President Neal Kashkari all dissented against the language in April. 
 
   -- Questions during the afternoon news conference will likely seek to 
      address Warsh's plans for communication changes, including the number of 
      future postmeeting press conferences. Warsh previously refused to commit 
      to keeping the tradition of speaking with reporters after every meeting. 

What's Next: Fed hawks aren't just worried about inflation; they fear the consequences of 62 months of price growth above the Fed's 2% target. The new set of economic projections will likely show slightly higher median inflation forecasts for year end than the Fed's previous forecast.

-- Megan Leonhardt

Global Investors Look Through Rate Hike Bets, Still Focus on AI

Some of the world's biggest investors held their bullish outlook on stocks even before signs of detente between the U.S. and Iran emerged, as Bank of America's latest Global Fund Manager survey points out. Most say growth and profits will outweigh the risk of interest-rate hikes and surging energy prices.

   -- The survey, of institutional investors managing more than half a trillion 
      dollars over the week ending in June 11, showed continued optimism, with 
      respondents indicating the highest levels of economic and corporate 
      profit growth forecasts in three months. Some managers did trim positions 
      and boosted their cash. 
 
   -- More than half of those polled expect the Fed's Kevin Warsh to execute a 
      "hawkish hold" on rates today but see increases coming over the next 12 
      months as price growth tied to the U.S. war with Iran continue to 
      pressure headline inflation readings over the coming months. 
 
   -- In fact, inflation remains the market's key "tail risk," according to the 
      BofA survey, replacing worries over the spread of global military 
      conflicts and topping concerns of a bubble in artificial-intelligence 
      stocks. Headline inflation in the U.S. hit 4.2% last month, the highest 
      in three years. 
 
   -- Simon MacAdam, the deputy chief global economist at Capital Economics 
      said the headline inflation number likely peaked in May, assuming the 
      deal doesn't collapse and oil prices renew their surge. 

What's Next: Investors still see the tech sector trading at unhealthy levels, with a survey record high of 80% suggesting that long positions in global semiconductor stocks remain the market's "most crowded" trade. About one-fifth said the current AI investment cycle is in a stage of "euphoria."

-- Martin Baccardax

SpaceX Valuation Tops Amazon on Third Trading Day

Starstruck investors made SpaceX a more valuable company than Amazon on Tuesday, as Elon Musk's rocket and artificial intelligence company extended its stellar start to life on the public market.

   -- Shares, which trade under the ticker SPCX, rose 4.8% to $201.80, 
      shrugging off a broader selloff. The S&P 500 slipped 0.6% as Wall Street 
      sold tech stocks and bought laggards. 
 
   -- The rally gave SpaceX a total market capitalization of $2.66 trillion at 
      the closing bell, making it the U.S.'s fifth-largest company -- behind 
      chip designer Nvidia, Google parent Alphabet, iPhone maker Apple, and IT 
      company Microsoft. It passed Amazon, valued at $2.65 trillion. 
 
   -- Beyond post-IPO momentum, one thing that might have helped is a deal with 
      Cursor. SpaceX on Tuesday announced it was combining with the agentic AI 
      software coding tool, which competes with the likes of Anthropic's 
      Claude. The price is $60 billion, paid in SpaceX stock. 
 
   -- SpaceX has been on a tear to start its life as a public company. Shares 
      gained 19% on their trading debut on Friday, then jumped another 20% on 
      Monday. SpaceX's market cap rose by about $760 billion across the two 
      sessions -- more than the value of Intel. 

What's Next: If SpaceX stock continues to surge, its market cap may well top Microsoft's over the next few days. The IT company, valued at $2.93 trillion, is expected to generate calendar year 2027 sales of $420 billion and operating profit of $194 billion. SpaceX is expected to generate sales of $65 billion and operating profit of $3 billion.

-- Al Root and George Glover

GM, Lockheed Martin Collaborate Amid Trump Push for Weapons

General Motors and Lockheed Martin are collaborating on efforts to combine GM's high-volume manufacturing capabilities with Lockheed's defense expertise to strengthen the defense supply chain and expand munitions production capacity. The move comes amid a Trump administration push to boost military production.

   -- America's security depends not only on developing advanced technologies, 
      but on its ability to produce them "quickly, reliably and at scale," said 
      Frank St. John, chief operating officer at Lockheed. The Defense 
      Department is supporting the collaboration. 
 
   -- The Trump administration has signed deals with Lockheed and other 
      munitions makers to boost missile production. It has been running drone 
      competitions to more rapidly put technologies from the Ukraine and Iran 
      wars in the hands of the U.S. military. 
 
   -- President Donald Trump invoked the Cold War-era Defense Production Act to 
      try to increase production of critical munitions, citing "limited 
      production capacity, fragile supply chains, long-lead dependencies, and 
      related production bottlenecks," in a memo to Defense Secretary Pete 
      Hegseth released Tuesday. 
 
   -- The U.S. is concerned about a potential weapons shortfall after the Iran 
      war, and doubts that Americans weapons makers can meet extra demand, The 
      Wall Street Journal reported. Replacing the stockpiles of long-range 
      Tomahawk missiles and air-defense missiles could take up to six years, 
      officials told the Journal. 

What's Next: Some administration officials think that the high munitions-expenditure rates could complicate the Pentagon's ability to defend Taiwan from a possible Chinese invasion near-term. The White House and the Pentagon dispute this. Congress must approve the long-term deals and funding before the Pentagon can lock in contracts.

-- Al Root and Janet H. Cho

IMAX Stock Boosted by Hot Summer Movie Schedule

Hollywood's summer box office sales since May 1 are outpacing last summer by about 11% thanks to the movie release calendar -- and even a few unexpectedly strong showings. A beneficiary is the large-screen format IMAX, ideally situated to draw large audiences to summer blockbusters.

   -- BFI Imax, the largest screen in the U.K., reported selling 28,000 advance 
      tickets in a day for Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey, grossing more than 
      $1 million, according to Deadline. The Odyssey, the first film shot 
      entirely in 70mm on IMAX Film cameras, opens in the U.S. on July 17. 
 
   -- Already, Universal Pictures' Disclosure Day, directed by Steven Spielberg, 
      grossed an estimated $92.9 million worldwide, including $13.8 million on 
      IMAX screens, according to Rentrak. Lionsgate's biopic about the pop 
      entertainer Michael Jackson has grossed $932.2 million globally, 
      including $65.2 million on IMAX. 
 
   -- Roth's senior media analyst Eric Handler estimates that IMAX's 
      second-quarter box office has surpassed $234 million, up 5.7% from last 
      year. He believes Hollywood's 2026 box office has the potential to 
      approach a postpandemic high of $9.9 billion. IMAX stock hit a new 
      all-time high Tuesday. 
 
   -- Still to be released this quarter are Walt Disney's Toy Story 5, opening 
      Friday on more than 1,600 IMAX screens worldwide, including in China. The 
      movie is expected to draw more than $150 million in domestic sales. 
      Warner Bros. Pictures' Supergirl, opening June 26, was also filmed for 
      IMAX. 

What's Next: Roth's Handler says July is looking especially strong for IMAX, including not only The Odyssey but Minions and Monsters (opening July 1), Moana (July 10), and Spider-Man: Brand New Day in select international markets. China's war epic Peng Hu (July 25), is generating "significant buzz in its home market."

-- Janet H. Cho

Dear Quentin,

My grandmother had a joint checking account with my mother. When my grandmother passed away, the money remaining in that account did not become part of her estate. The will stated that the estate was to be divided equally among her children, but it made no mention of the funds in the joint checking account.

This is not an ethical question about whether the money in the account should have been included in the estate, but a legal one. Was my mother legally obligated to divide the remaining funds in the checking account among her siblings? The only assets the siblings received were the proceeds remaining from my grandmother's life insurance.

What do you think?

-- The Grandson

Read the Moneyist's response here.

-- Quentin Fottrell

-- Newsletter edited by Liz Moyer, Patrick O'Donnell, Rupert Steiner

This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 17, 2026 06:32 ET (10:32 GMT)

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