High-Cost Iron-Ore Supply Supporting Prices, For Now -- Market Talk

Dow Jones06-17

0500 GMT - Roughly 5% of iron ore supply looks to be losing money at current prices, according to UBS. "This continues to provide a degree of cost-curve support, even as market fundamentals appear softer, including elevated Chinese port inventories," the bank says. Spot iron ore trades at around $102 per ton, effectively in line with the 95th percentile of the industry's cost curve, says UBS. Yet with inventories building, positioning net short and incremental supply rising, UBS sees "downside risk emerging if demand does not recover and marginal tons begin to exit." If iron ore prices fall, the stocks of higher-margin producers including BHP and Rio Tinto would likely fare better than lower-margin operators including Fortescue and Mineral Resources, UBS says. (rhiannon.hoyle@wsj.com; @RhiannonHoyle)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 17, 2026 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT)

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Yet with inventories building, positioning net short and incremental supply rising, UBS sees \"downside risk emerging if demand does not recover and marginal tons begin to exit.\" If iron ore prices fall, the stocks of higher-margin producers including BHP and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RTNTF\">Rio Tinto</a> would likely fare better than lower-margin operators including Fortescue and Mineral Resources, UBS says. (rhiannon.hoyle@wsj.com; @RhiannonHoyle) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 17, 2026 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>High-Cost Iron-Ore Supply Supporting Prices, For Now -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHigh-Cost Iron-Ore Supply Supporting Prices, For Now -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-17 13:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0500 GMT - Roughly 5% of iron ore supply looks to be losing money at current prices, according to UBS. \"This continues to provide a degree of cost-curve support, even as market fundamentals appear softer, including elevated Chinese port inventories,\" the bank says. Spot iron ore trades at around $102 per ton, effectively in line with the 95th percentile of the industry's cost curve, says UBS. Yet with inventories building, positioning net short and incremental supply rising, UBS sees \"downside risk emerging if demand does not recover and marginal tons begin to exit.\" If iron ore prices fall, the stocks of higher-margin producers including BHP and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RTNTF\">Rio Tinto</a> would likely fare better than lower-margin operators including Fortescue and Mineral Resources, UBS says. (rhiannon.hoyle@wsj.com; @RhiannonHoyle) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 17, 2026 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7129","symbol_name":"钢铁","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2644790783","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2644790783","pubTimestamp":1781672400,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0500 GMT - Roughly 5% of iron ore supply looks to be losing money at current prices, according to UBS. \"This continues to provide a degree of cost-curve support, even as market fundamentals appear softer, including elevated Chinese port inventories,\" the bank says. Spot iron ore trades at around $102 per ton, effectively in line with the 95th percentile of the industry's cost curve, says UBS. Yet with inventories building, positioning net short and incremental supply rising, UBS sees \"downside risk emerging if demand does not recover and marginal tons begin to exit.\" If iron ore prices fall, the stocks of higher-margin producers including BHP and Rio Tinto would likely fare better than lower-margin operators including Fortescue and Mineral Resources, UBS says. 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Spot iron ore trades at around $102 per ton, effectively in line with the 95th percentile of the industry's cost curve, says UBS. Yet with inventories building, positioning net short and incremental supply rising, UBS sees \"downside risk emerging if demand does not recover and marginal tons begin to exit.\" If iron ore prices fall, the stocks of higher-margin producers including BHP and Rio Tinto would likely fare better than lower-margin operators including Fortescue and Mineral Resources, UBS says. (rhiannon.hoyle@wsj.com; @RhiannonHoyle) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 17, 2026 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":true,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.45.2","shortVersion":"4.45.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2644790783","isCrawlerRequest":true}