End of Iran Conflict and Hawkish Fed Will Pull US Economy in Opposite Directions -- Market Talk

Dow Jones00:51

1250 ET - The ending of the conflict in Iran and a more hawkish Federal Reserve will pull the US economy in opposite directions, Oxford Economics says in a note. For consumers, "Lower global energy prices and reduced supply-chain stress will translate into cheaper gasoline prices and reduced second-round effects on prices for food, travel, and other energy-intensive sectors," Oxford says. However, higher interest rates present another headwind to the recovery of non-AI business investment. In addition, even as energy prices decline, Oxford expects headline inflation to run more than 3.2% through December, meaning real income growth will be flat for much of the rest of the year.(jessica.coacci@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 23, 2026 12:51 ET (16:51 GMT)

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For consumers, \"Lower global energy prices and reduced supply-chain stress will translate into cheaper gasoline prices and reduced second-round effects on prices for food, travel, and other energy-intensive sectors,\" Oxford says. However, higher interest rates present another headwind to the recovery of non-AI business investment. In addition, even as energy prices decline, Oxford expects headline inflation to run more than 3.2% through December, meaning real income growth will be flat for much of the rest of the year.(jessica.coacci@wsj.com) \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 23, 2026 12:51 ET (16:51 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.0","shortVersion":"4.44.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2645858900","isCrawlerRequest":true}