Hyliion Holdings (HYLN) Stock Could Be 62% Overvalued After Navy DARPA Testing News

Simply Wall St.06-21

Hyliion Holdings (HYLN) is back in focus after announcing a collaboration with the U.S. Navy’s Office of Naval Research and DARPA to test its KARNO power module, along with renewed attention from Wall...

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See our latest analysis for Hyliion Holdings. Hyliion Holdings has attracted fresh attention as the U.S. Navy and DARPA collaboration and the recent Buy rating coincide with strong momentum, including a 30 day share price return of 92.86% and a very large 1 year total shareholder return of 504.48%. If Hyliion’s surge has you thinking about what else is changing in energy and infrastructure, it could be a good time to scan 34 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks With Hyliion Holdings now trading above the latest analyst price target and recent returns already very strong, the key question is whether the current valuation leaves upside on the table or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 62% Overvalued Hyliion Holdings closed at $8.10, while the most followed narrative anchors on a fair value of $5.00, putting the recent surge against a much lower reference point.  The company expects commercialization of the 200 kilowatt KARNO module around year end and plans to expand into multi megawatt data center configurations. Any slippage in reaching the full 200 kilowatt rating or in achieving facility level UL certification could push out the timing of higher volume sales and slow operating leverage on SG&A and R&D.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what sits behind that cautious tone? The narrative leans heavily on ambitious revenue expansion, margin repair and a future earnings multiple that is anything but modest. Result: Fair Value of $5 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, if Hyliion Holdings secures the additional US$40 million to US$50 million of military contracts and VFG converts part of its 250 core LOI, this cautious narrative could be challenged. Find out about the key risks to this Hyliion Holdings narrative. Next Steps Given the mix of caution and optimism around Hyliion Holdings, it makes sense to move quickly and weigh the evidence for yourself. Start by reviewing the 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs Looking for more investment ideas beyond Hyliion Holdings? Before moving on from Hyliion Holdings, take a moment to line up your next ideas so you are not reacting late when opportunities already look crowded.  Target potential bargains with stronger fundamentals by scanning the 45 high quality undervalued stocks and see which stocks currently stand out on price versus quality. Strengthen your income stream by reviewing the 8 dividend fortresses and identify companies offering higher yields with a focus on resilience. Reduce portfolio shocks by checking the 66 resilient stocks with low risk scores and filter for stocks that score better on overall risk profiles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Hyliion Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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