TAL Education Group (TAL) Could Be 41% Undervalued On Earnings Beat And Institutional Buying

Simply Wall St.06-26

AdvertisementEvent driven interest in TAL Education Group stock TAL Education Group (TAL) is back in focus after fourth quarter results topped analyst expectations on both earnings and revenue, along ...

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See our latest analysis for TAL Education Group. The recent earnings beat and increased institutional ownership come at a time when TAL Education Group’s share price is under pressure, with the stock down 6.24% on a 1 month share price return basis and 20.28% year to date. However, a 3 year total shareholder return of 53.18% shows longer term holders have still seen gains even as the 1 year total shareholder return fell 14.79%. If you are comparing TAL’s reset to other opportunities in the market, this could be a useful moment to see which education and technology peers are showing up in the 20 top founder-led companies So with TAL Education Group delivering stronger than expected quarterly results while the share price sits close to its 52 week low, is the stock still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in the company’s future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 41.1% Undervalued On the most followed narrative, TAL Education Group’s fair value of $15.55 sits well above the last close at $9.16, putting the current share price against a materially higher long term estimate built on detailed cash flow and earnings assumptions.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $15.55 for TAL Education Group based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $18.67, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $11.54.  Read the complete narrative. This narrative leans heavily on a specific path for revenue expansion, profit margins and the earnings multiple that might apply several years out. It raises the question of which combination of growth, profitability and discount rate assumptions is working hardest to justify that gap between $9.16 and $15.55. Result: Fair Value of $15.55 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, TAL Education Group’s story could change quickly if K-12 growth tapers faster than expected or if loss making learning devices and higher marketing spend weigh more heavily on margins. Find out about the key risks to this TAL Education Group narrative. Next Steps With sentiment on TAL Education Group clearly mixed, use this moment to move quickly, review both the concerns and the upside, and weigh the 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Looking for more TAL Education Group investment ideas? If TAL Education Group has your attention, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St screener to widen your watchlist with other focused stock ideas.  Spot potential value opportunities before they are crowded by checking out 44 high quality undervalued stocks. Strengthen your downside protection by searching for companies in the 69 resilient stocks with low risk scores. Add quality to your shortlist with stocks uncovered through the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (48 results).   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if TAL Education Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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