Kalshi Traders See 50-50 Odds Nasdaq-100 Closes 2026 Above 30,000

MT Newswires Live07:27

Kalshi traders place about 50-50 odds that the Nasdaq-100 will close 2026 above 30,000, a level the index first crossed in late May, CNBC reported Tuesday.

CNBC said another Kalshi contract shows 40% odds that the index's 2026 high will exceed 32,000, versus an intraday high of 30,762 reached June 3, while traders assign about a 27% chance the index climbs above 33,000 by year-end.

UBS said in a note Tuesday it expects the broader market rally to continue in the second half of 2026, with technology potentially no longer leading, according to CNBC.

UBS chief investment officer for the Americas, Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, said investors are increasingly looking beyond tech following the second-quarter rally in semiconductor stocks, adding that the next leg of equity gains is likely to be marked by broader market leadership.

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