Climate-driven Inflation, not Just El Nino, Key to Watch

Dow Jones07-07

0811 GMT - It is more important to watch the broader impact of climate change on inflation than to focus solely on the effects of El Nino, Carsten Menke of Julius Baer writes in a note. "Although it raises fears about food inflation, there is no clear evidence of El Nino structurally pushing up prices," Menke says. Historically, non-El Nino-related droughts pushed prices up, as did higher energy prices, demonstrating that a mix of factors can hurt agricultural production around the world, Menke adds. With extreme weather risks on the rise, inflation driven by climate change could become more prominent, but it is still remains to be seen whether it means more volatile or lastingly higher food prices, Menke says. (kimberley.kao@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 07, 2026 04:11 ET (08:11 GMT)

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Historically, non-El Nino-related droughts pushed prices up, as did higher energy prices, demonstrating that a mix of factors can hurt agricultural production around the world, Menke adds. With extreme weather risks on the rise, inflation driven by climate change could become more prominent, but it is still remains to be seen whether it means more volatile or lastingly higher food prices, Menke says. (kimberley.kao@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 07, 2026 04:11 ET (08:11 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Climate-driven Inflation, not Just El Nino, Key to Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClimate-driven Inflation, not Just El Nino, Key to Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-07 16:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0811 GMT - It is more important to watch the broader impact of climate change on inflation than to focus solely on the effects of El Nino, Carsten Menke of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBARF\">Julius Baer</a> writes in a note. \"Although it raises fears about food inflation, there is no clear evidence of El Nino structurally pushing up prices,\" Menke says. Historically, non-El Nino-related droughts pushed prices up, as did higher energy prices, demonstrating that a mix of factors can hurt agricultural production around the world, Menke adds. With extreme weather risks on the rise, inflation driven by climate change could become more prominent, but it is still remains to be seen whether it means more volatile or lastingly higher food prices, Menke says. 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Historically, non-El Nino-related droughts pushed prices up, as did higher energy prices, demonstrating that a mix of factors can hurt agricultural production around the world, Menke adds. With extreme weather risks on the rise, inflation driven by climate change could become more prominent, but it is still remains to be seen whether it means more volatile or lastingly higher food prices, Menke says. 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