Coffee prices to stay high as volatility lingers, Lavazza says

Mumbi Gitau & Abigail Tobias / Bloomberg07-08

The latest bout of volatility in the coffee market is set to linger, complicating the outlook for consumers hoping to see lower prices, according to Italian roaster Luigi Lavazza SpA.(July 8): The ...

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It will take at least two strong harvests and a significant rebuilding of global inventories to ease supply constraints, making lower prices unlikely over the next two years, he added.\nArabica futures in New York posted their biggest intraday jump in 26 years on Monday but erased much of that gain in the next session. On Wednesday, prices fluctuated, indicating that volatility may prove sticky as market participants weigh expectations of a record harvest in top-grower Brazil against concerns about the impact of the El Niño weather phenomenon.\n\"I think we are living in a long-lasting period of instability and uncertainty,\" Lavazza said. \"Instability is the new constant.\"\n\nPrices of the premium bean variety favoured by speciality chains like Starbucks Corp had eased from 2025's record highs on prospects of a bumper Brazilian crop, raising hopes among roasters that retail prices would eventually follow.\nThat optimism has been dimmed as the market faces tightening inventories, delays to Brazil's harvest and renewed investor bets that weather-linked disruptions could threaten supplies. Roasters are grappling with tighter margins, Lavazza said.\nPrices have surged about 30% since forecasters first declared El Niño last month. The weather phenomenon historically brings unseasonable changes to temperature and precipitation that can hurt crops. Hotter, drier weather during Brazil's flowering season can reduce arabica yields.\n\"We need a couple of very strong crops from Brazil and Vietnam to rebuild stability,\" Lavazza said. \"So maybe the first good crop is arriving,\" but we don't yet have evidence it will be as good as was expected at the end of 2025, he added.\nUploaded by Arion Yeow","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.46.0","shortVersion":"4.46.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2650516914","isCrawlerRequest":true}