June Inflation Supports View That Markets Overprice Fed Hike

Dow Jones07-14 23:02

1502 GMT - Markets overestimate the likelihood of interest-rate increases by the Fed, SignatureFD's Tony Welch says. Futures markets price lower odds of a hike this month following June's soft CPI inflation data, but at least one rate increase this year remains in the cards, according to CME. Welch says inflation is trending lower, regardless of volatile fuel prices. "We just are not seeing the types of wage gains that would support broad economy-wide inflation for a long period of time," he says. He expects Chairman Warsh to try to keep inflation expectations around the Fed's 2% target. "I do believe he's trying to use his words to help set, keep inflation expectations anchored," he says. (paulo.trevisani@wsj.com; @ptrevisani)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 14, 2026 11:02 ET (15:02 GMT)

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2651102451?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-07-14 23:02","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2651102451","market":"sh","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"June Inflation Supports View That Markets Overprice Fed Hike","media":"Dow Jones","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     1502 GMT - Markets overestimate the likelihood of interest-rate increases by the Fed, SignatureFD's Tony Welch says. Futures markets price lower odds of a hike this month following June's soft CPI inflation data, but at least one rate increase this year remains in the cards, according to CME. Welch says inflation is trending lower, regardless of volatile fuel prices. \"We just are not seeing the types of wage gains that would support broad economy-wide inflation for a long period of time,\" he says. He expects Chairman Warsh to try to keep inflation expectations around the Fed's 2% target. \"I do believe he's trying to use his words to help set, keep inflation expectations anchored,\" he says. (paulo.trevisani@wsj.com; @ptrevisani) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 14, 2026 11:02 ET (15:02 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>June Inflation Supports View That Markets Overprice Fed Hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJune Inflation Supports View That Markets Overprice Fed Hike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-14 23:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     1502 GMT - Markets overestimate the likelihood of interest-rate increases by the Fed, SignatureFD's Tony Welch says. Futures markets price lower odds of a hike this month following June's soft CPI inflation data, but at least one rate increase this year remains in the cards, according to CME. Welch says inflation is trending lower, regardless of volatile fuel prices. \"We just are not seeing the types of wage gains that would support broad economy-wide inflation for a long period of time,\" he says. He expects Chairman Warsh to try to keep inflation expectations around the Fed's 2% target. \"I do believe he's trying to use his words to help set, keep inflation expectations anchored,\" he says. (paulo.trevisani@wsj.com; @ptrevisani) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 14, 2026 11:02 ET (15:02 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FAZ","symbol_name":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2651102451","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2651102451","pubTimestamp":1784041320,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"1502 GMT - Markets overestimate the likelihood of interest-rate increases by the Fed, SignatureFD's Tony Welch says. Futures markets price lower odds of a hike this month following June's soft CPI inflation data, but at least one rate increase this year remains in the cards, according to CME. Welch says inflation is trending lower, regardless of volatile fuel prices. \"We just are not seeing the types of wage gains that would support broad economy-wide inflation for a long period of time,\" he says. He expects Chairman Warsh to try to keep inflation expectations around the Fed's 2% target. \"I do believe he's trying to use his words to help set, keep inflation expectations anchored,\" he says.  Dow Jones NewswiresJuly 14, 2026 11:02 ET Copyright  2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","NGHT":"Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF","BOND":"Pimco Total Return ETF","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","JPST":"JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","PBDC":"Putnam Bdc Income ETF","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","SHV":"美国短期国债ETF-iShares","DBND":"DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","TYO":"3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","BSV":"短期国债指数ETF-Vanguard","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","UDN":"做空美元指数-PowerShares","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","TBT":"债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","USHY":"iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF","MINT":"PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Exchange-Traded Fund","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","GOLY":"Strategy Shares Gold Enhanced Yield ETF","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard"},"translate_title":"六月通胀支持市场高估美联储加息的观点","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"PBDC":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"GOLY":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"BND":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,"JPST":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"SHV":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"SKRE":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"BOND":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"UUP":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"BSV":1.5},"content_text":"1502 GMT - Markets overestimate the likelihood of interest-rate increases by the Fed, SignatureFD's Tony Welch says. Futures markets price lower odds of a hike this month following June's soft CPI inflation data, but at least one rate increase this year remains in the cards, according to CME. Welch says inflation is trending lower, regardless of volatile fuel prices. \"We just are not seeing the types of wage gains that would support broad economy-wide inflation for a long period of time,\" he says. He expects Chairman Warsh to try to keep inflation expectations around the Fed's 2% target. \"I do believe he's trying to use his words to help set, keep inflation expectations anchored,\" he says. (paulo.trevisani@wsj.com; @ptrevisani) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  July 14, 2026 11:02 ET (15:02 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":true,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.45.2","shortVersion":"4.45.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2651102451","isCrawlerRequest":true}