ECB September Rate Hike Far from Done Deal

Dow Jones07-14 20:14

1214 GMT - Barring a big surprise, the European Central Bank will hold its key interest rate next week, though a hike in September isn't a done deal, HSBC's Simon Wells says in a note. Some have argued a single rate rise in June runs the risk of looking like a 2011-style mistake, when the ECB hiked twice but swiftly reversed, he says. "We don't buy it," Wells notes. Oil futures prices now suggest inflation could undershoot the 2% target in 2028. While the July press conference is likely to keep the door open, there won't likely be a strong signal, and come September the case for hiking could be weaker, he says. "We think rates could be on hold this year." (edward.frankl@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 14, 2026 08:14 ET (12:14 GMT)

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Some have argued a single rate rise in June runs the risk of looking like a 2011-style mistake, when the ECB hiked twice but swiftly reversed, he says. \"We don't buy it,\" Wells notes. Oil futures prices now suggest inflation could undershoot the 2% target in 2028. While the July press conference is likely to keep the door open, there won't likely be a strong signal, and come September the case for hiking could be weaker, he says. \"We think rates could be on hold this year.\" (edward.frankl@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 14, 2026 08:14 ET (12:14 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"AVDV","symbol_name":"Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2651103245","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2651103245","pubTimestamp":1784031240,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"1214 GMT - Barring a big surprise, the European Central Bank will hold its key interest rate next week, though a hike in September isn't a done deal, HSBC's Simon Wells says in a note. 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Some have argued a single rate rise in June runs the risk of looking like a 2011-style mistake, when the ECB hiked twice but swiftly reversed, he says. \"We don't buy it,\" Wells notes. Oil futures prices now suggest inflation could undershoot the 2% target in 2028. While the July press conference is likely to keep the door open, there won't likely be a strong signal, and come September the case for hiking could be weaker, he says. \"We think rates could be on hold this year.\" (edward.frankl@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  July 14, 2026 08:14 ET (12:14 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":true,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.45.2","shortVersion":"4.45.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2651103245","isCrawlerRequest":true}