Domino's Pizza (DPZ) Could Be 19% Undervalued Following CEO And Board Changes

Simply Wall St.07-17 22:19

Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is drawing fresh attention after a series of leadership changes, including the planned promotion of COO Joe Jordan to CEO and new board appointments from Best Buy, Dollar Tree and...

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However, the year to date share price return of 22.48% and 1 year total shareholder...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4209":"餐馆","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","DPZ":"达美乐比萨"},"translate_title":"首席执行官和董事会变动后，达美乐披萨 (DPZ) 的估值可能被低估 19%","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DPZ":1.5},"content_text":"Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is drawing fresh attention after a series of leadership changes, including the planned promotion of COO Joe Jordan to CEO and new board appointments from Best Buy, Dollar Tree and HP. See our latest analysis for Domino's Pizza. The leadership announcements appear to have sparked renewed interest in Domino's Pizza, with the share price up 6.05% on the day and 9.57% over the past week. However, the year to date share price return of 22.48% and 1 year total shareholder return of 28.31% both reflect a weaker longer term trend. If you are weighing Domino's leadership changes against other opportunities in the market, this could be a good time to broaden your search and check out 18 top founder-led companies After a sharp swing in Domino's Pizza shares and a cluster of fresh leadership headlines, the stock now sits roughly 13% below one fair value estimate and about 19% under the average analyst target. Is that gap still justified? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 19.2% Undervalued According to the latest widely followed narrative on Domino's Pizza, a fair value of $408.07 is set against the current share price of $329.67, framing a clear valuation gap for investors to assess.  Domino's Pizza is a great brand, enjoying a wide moat that results in an operating margin of around ~20%. Given the maturity of the business, its revenue growth is below 10% but still modestly above the economy growth rate. Its franchise business model and disciplined capital allocation decisions also result in a stellar ROIC around 10 times its cost of capital. The reduction in shares outstanding over the last five years has also increased each shareholder's ownership stake (\"pizza slice\") in the company.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see how this wide moat story turns into a specific price tag for Domino's Pizza? The narrative leans heavily on steady cash generation and robust returns on invested capital, paired with assumed revenue growth and profit margins that try to justify a premium valuation over time, yet still leave a discount versus the narrative fair value. The details behind those inputs are where the real debate starts. Result: Fair Value of $408.07 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this Domino's Pizza narrative could be challenged if the recent share price decline of around 22% year to date reflects deeper concerns about growth or margins. Find out about the key risks to this Domino's Pizza narrative. Next Steps Seeing mixed signals around Domino's Pizza and its valuation story so far? Take a closer look now and weigh both the upside and the cautionary flags by reviewing the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs Looking for more investment ideas beyond Domino's Pizza? If Domino's Pizza has you thinking more broadly about your portfolio, use this moment to line up a few fresh ideas before the next move in markets.  Target dependable income streams by reviewing companies in the 8 dividend fortresses that could help anchor the yield side of your portfolio. Pinpoint potential value opportunities early by scanning the screener containing 20 high quality undiscovered gems before they sit firmly on everyone else's radar. Dial back portfolio risk while staying invested by focusing on companies highlighted in the 81 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on resilience.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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