Futu Holdings (FUTU) Has Slid 42% In 3 Months, Is It Now Cheap?

Simply Wall St.07-20

Futu Holdings (NasdaqGM:FUTU) has drawn investor attention after a sharp share price decline of around 42% over the past 3 months, prompting fresh questions about how its current valuation aligns with...

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This suggests earlier optimism has cooled as investors...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1048588211.SGD":"Blackrock Asian Dragon A2 SGD-H","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1981816686.USD":"EASTSPRING INV ASIAN MULTI FACTOR EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","FUTU":"富途控股","SG9999002463.SGD":"LionGlobal China Growth SGD","LU0072462343.USD":"贝莱德亚洲巨龙基金","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0348766576.USD":"ALLIANZ LITTLE DRAGONS \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","LU0348767384.USD":"ALLIANZLITTLE DRAGONS \"A\" (USD) ACC","FUTG":"2倍做多富途ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4588":"碎股"},"translate_title":"富途控股（FUTU）3个月下滑42%，现在便宜了吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FUTU":1.98,"FUTG":0.6},"content_text":"Futu Holdings (NasdaqGM:FUTU) has drawn investor attention after a sharp share price decline of around 42% over the past 3 months, prompting fresh questions about how its current valuation aligns with recent financial results. See our latest analysis for Futu Holdings. Looking beyond the recent 3 month slide, Futu Holdings has seen its share price fall over the past year while still posting a strong 3 year total shareholder return. This suggests earlier optimism has cooled as investors reassess growth prospects and risk. If you are weighing up Futu Holdings against other opportunities in fast changing parts of the market, it can help to see what else investors are watching with 19 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks After a drop of more than 40% in 3 months, Futu Holdings now trades at a reported 64% discount to the average analyst price target and around a 50% discount to one intrinsic value estimate. Is the market’s caution still warranted? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 38.9% Undervalued Against the last close of $95.10, the most followed narrative for Futu Holdings points to a fair value of $155.69, a sizable valuation gap built on detailed growth and margin assumptions discounted at 8.76%.  The rapid growth in funded accounts, especially from international markets such as Singapore, the U.S., Malaysia, and Japan, signals ongoing global expansion and diversification of Futu's user base, positioning the company to capture rising middle-class wealth and digital financial adoption in Asia, which in turn is presented as supporting long-term revenue and AUM growth.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue trajectory, margin profile, and future earnings multiple are being used to justify that gap to fair value? This narrative leans on specific growth expectations, a higher profitability path, and a projected valuation multiple that sits below one common industry benchmark yet still supports a much higher fair value. The exact mix of assumptions is what makes the story worth checking in full. Result: Fair Value of $155.69 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the picture for Futu Holdings is not one sided. Tighter Chinese regulatory scrutiny and pressure on commissions are both capable of challenging the current undervalued narrative. Find out about the key risks to this Futu Holdings narrative. Next Steps If this mix of caution and optimism around Futu Holdings feels familiar, consider acting while the debate is still live by reviewing the 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas beyond Futu Holdings? If Futu Holdings has you thinking harder about where to put fresh capital, do not stop here. Expand your watchlist with focused stock ideas that meet clear criteria.  Target potential mispricings by reviewing companies that combine quality fundamentals with attractive valuations using the 48 high quality undervalued stocks. Strengthen your income stream by scanning for established businesses offering higher yields with the 8 dividend fortresses. Prioritize resilience by focusing on companies that show robust financial footing through the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (47 results).   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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