Global Forex and Fixed Income Roundup: Market Talk

Dow Jones07-22 13:21

The latest Market Talks covering FX and Fixed Income. Published exclusively on Dow Jones Newswires throughout the day.

0521 GMT - Front-end eurozone rates are expected to remain confined within a range of consistent market expectations of a terminal European Central Bank deposit rate between 2.50% and 2.75%, says Santander CIB's Antonio Garcia Pascual in a note. "As long as oil prices stay within the assumptions of the ECB's mild and baseline scenarios, we expect this range to hold," the global head of economics says. At current levels, Santander CIB again sees an opportunity to open tactical longs in front-end rates, he says. The ECB raised interest rates by 25 bps in June, bringing the deposit rate to 2.25%. It is expected to stay on hold when it announces a monetary policy decision on Thursday. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

0517 GMT - Franklin Templeton's base case is for the European Central Bank to deliver one final rate hike in September with inflation expected to remain above the ECB's 2% target over the coming quarters, says David Zahn, head of European fixed income, in a note. Thereafter the ECB is expected to remain on hold to assess the impact of the tightening already delivered. However, the ECB remains highly data-dependent, Zahn says. "If renewed tensions in the Gulf were to push energy prices higher and keep inflation above target for longer, policymakers could be forced to consider additional rate hikes." Franklin Templeton expects the ECB to begin easing policy in 2027. The ECB raised interest rates by 25 basis points in June and is expected to stay on hold this week. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 22, 2026 01:21 ET (05:21 GMT)

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Global Forex and Fixed Income Roundup: Market Talk

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