BOE Rate Rise Looks Less Likely in Near Term

Dow Jones07-31

1243 GMT - The Bank of England has suggested that the bar to a near-term interest-rate increase is high, Morgan Stanley's Bruna Skarica and Fabio Bassanin say in a note. During Thursday's rate decision, the BOE said that so far there is little evidence of second-order effects of inflation. Nonetheless, the BOE could be pushed to raise rates if energy costs stay elevated for a prolonged period, Skarica and Bassanin say. Markets price in a 28% probability of a BOE rate increase in September, and fully price in the possibility of one quarter-point rate hike by the end of 2026, LSEG data show.

 

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