Newmont (NEM) Could Be 34% Undervalued After Strong Earnings And Steady 2026 Guidance

Simply Wall St.08-03 02:18

AdvertisementWhy Newmont’s latest quarter is drawing investor attention Newmont (NEM) has come into focus after its July 23 earnings release, which combined higher year over year sales and net income ...

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See our latest analysis for Newmont. At a share price of US$93.71, Newmont has given investors a 51.31% total shareholder return over the past year. However, the 90 day share price return is down 13.73% and short term price momentum has cooled. If Newmont’s recent earnings and buybacks have you thinking about where else capital might work hard in the precious metals space, this is a good moment to review 32 elite gold producer stocks After a strong year for Newmont, but a cooler last quarter on the share price, the gap between today’s US$93.71 level and the range of analyst and intrinsic estimates is hard to ignore. Where does fair value really sit now? Most Popular Narrative: 33.8% Undervalued Newmont’s most followed narrative pegs fair value at $141.46, which sits well above the latest $93.71 close and puts the current discount in sharp focus.  The realization of synergies and increased production scale following the Newcrest Mining acquisition, together with ongoing asset optimization and the ramp up of expansion projects (such as Ahafo North and Tanami), should support long term revenue growth and cash flow stability.  Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative. Want to see what is built into that $141.46 figure? The narrative leans heavily on richer margins, steadier cash flows, and a future earnings profile that looks very different from today. Result: Fair Value of $141.46 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, Newmont’s story can change quickly if higher operating costs or safety issues at key sites push margins and cash generation below the assumptions behind that US$141.46 figure. Find out about the key risks to this Newmont narrative. Next Steps With the article pointing to both opportunity and uncertainty around Newmont, this is a good time to look at the numbers yourself and form an independent view. To see what investors are currently optimistic about in the company, start with 4 key rewards. Looking for more investment ideas beyond Newmont? If you want to give yourself options beyond Newmont, use the Simply Wall St Screener to spot clear opportunities before they are crowded.  Target resilience by focusing on companies that score well on key risk checks using the 81 resilient stocks with low risk scores. Spot potential mispricings by scanning for strong businesses trading below their implied worth with the 55 high quality undervalued stocks. Hunt for future standouts by filtering for quality companies that the market may be overlooking through the screener containing 19 high quality undiscovered gems.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Newmont might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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